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Stats as of

Apsalar

0xd42f6a1634a3707e27cbae14ca966068e5d1047d

-$11.6K
Tracked Trades
1,006
First Seen
Nov 22, 2024
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
74% won · 27 settled · +$20.2K

Apsalar is a Polymarket trader with 1,006 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 397 wins and 254 losses on settled markets, -$11.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$2.0M
Typical trade
$182.55
Avg entry
50¢
Polymarket rank
#8,618

Profit over time

+$14.3K-$24.3K
Nov 22Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3844%6%+2 pts
20 to 40¢12830%34%+3 pts
40 to 60¢12049%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢6768%70%+2 pts
Over 80¢30797%98%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2725245%+$27.77
$27 to $18325254%-$2.1K
$185 to $87025163%-$1.1K
$884 to $186K25173%-$8.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL13355%+$10.6K
NBA30246%-$22.6K
World politics7843%-$17.7K
Other politics6867%+$1.9K
US elections50100%+$5.2K
Entertainment6088%-$430.26

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied Apsalar

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

3 of 5 needed have resolved. 3 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Nov 3, 4 fills
No81¢$4.0K+$942.21
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Nov 3
Yes55¢$2.8K+$2.3K
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3
Yes87¢$4.3K+$650.00
See every position across 440 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
    $23.2K on No at 48¢, Dec 19
    +$24.9K
  2. 2
    Eagles vs. Ravens
    $8.8K on Eagles at 34¢, Dec 1
    +$16.7K
  3. 3
    McNeese State vs. Clemson
    $6.1K on McNeese State at 32¢, Mar 20
    +$13.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?96¢3100%+$176.38
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?67¢1167%+$89.09
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?100¢3100%+$180.00
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?99¢5100%+$803.98
Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?100¢2100%+$75.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jan 2025-$1.2K
Feb 2025-$2.8K
Mar 2025-$11.3K
Apr 2025-$325.48
May 2025-$1.2K
Jun 2025-$9.0K
Jul 2025+$781.23
Nov 2025+$238.16
Dec 2025-$213.32
Jan 2026+$39.90
Feb 2026+$295.40
Nov 2026+$3.8K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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