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Stats as of

TBill1

0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72

+$75.0K
Tracked Trades
311
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
96% won · 50 settled · +$64.0K

TBill1 is a Polymarket trader with 311 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 124 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $75.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 3.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+25%
Money traded
$779.3K
Typical trade
$1.3K
Avg entry
65¢
Polymarket rank
#483

Profit over time

+$75.0K+$0.00
Aug 28Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢77%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1434%25%-9 pts
40 to 60¢4451%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢6270%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢18490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$506 to $7707890%+$8.5K
$774 to $1.3K7890%+$7.3K
$1.3K to $2.7K7897%+$22.9K
$2.7K to $19K77100%+$36.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections8190%+$5.8K
World politics85100%+$3.6K
Fed and rates9296%+$64.0K
Companies13+$0.00
Economic data18+$0.00
Bitcoin9+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 25%75% No

If you had copied TBill1

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$298.63
Profit
on $2,500.00 staked
21-4
Record
84% win rate
+12%
Return
19 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$298.63+$0.00
Aug 24Nov 2
-$202.69
Max drawdown
75% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$698.63 won vs $400.00 lost
+14.4 pts
Edge vs implied
84% won at 70¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
6 trades

By category

politics20 settled+2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

19 open positions worth $186.1K

The markets TBill1 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what TBill1 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3
Yes74¢$1.5K+$520.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Nov 3, 20 fills
Yes98¢sold 98¢$43.8K+$1.0K
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Nov 3, 21 fills
No97¢sold 98¢$56.7K+$1.5K
See every position across 41 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $61.3K on No at 54¢, Sep 16
    +$53.3K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $16.9K on Yes at 65¢, Sep 14
    +$9.1K
  3. 3
    Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $51.4K on No at 93¢, Oct 29
    +$4.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?54¢65100%+$53.3K
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?97¢21100%+$1.5K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?98¢20100%+$1.0K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?80¢1693%+$3.4K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?47¢9+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$48.6K
Sep 2026+$14.5K
Oct 2026+$11.7K
Nov 2026+$168.59

How they build positions

Trimmed a position65%
Opened a new position19%
Added to a position15%
Closed a position1%

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