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Stats as of

ArthurGreen

0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45

+$2.0K
Tracked Trades
1,017
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Commodities
41% won · 165 settled · +$2.9K

ArthurGreen is a Polymarket trader with 1,017 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 174 wins and 368 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? on Nov 3.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$87.7K
Typical trade
$50.00
Avg entry
17¢
Polymarket rank
#3,263

Profit over time

+$2.5K-$3.5K
Jun 28Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4129%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢27429%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢17249%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢10169%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢5886%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2125519%-$149.51
$22 to $5025431%+$1.5K
$50 to $10125431%-$94.90
$101 to $99625452%+$725.48

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics40836%+$2.2K
Commodities29541%+$2.9K
Motorsport22917%-$3.1K
Tech and AI14100%+$741.61
Bitcoin29+$0.00
Economic data4+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied ArthurGreen

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$803.59
Profit
on $16,400.00 staked
45-119
Record
27% win rate
-5%
Return
30 still open
Profit over time164 settled trades
+$0.00-$4.5K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
20813% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$11.1K won vs $11.9K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
118 trades

By category

finance33 settled+3%
sports73 settled-0%
politics56 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

18 open positions worth $10.5K

The markets ArthurGreen is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ArthurGreen is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Nov 3, 15 fills
No10¢sold 38¢$299.98+$2.7K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on November 3?
Nov 2
Yes35¢$45.30-$45.30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
Nov 1
No7¢$21.00-$21.00
See every position across 223 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
    $2.5K on No at 33¢, Sep 28
    +$5.1K
  2. 2
    US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
    $299.98 on No at 10¢, Oct 31
    +$2.7K
  3. 3
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    $2.6K on No at 61¢, Sep 24
    +$1.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?58¢1271%+$1.4K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?37¢5774%+$4.0K
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?84¢6100%+$392.44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?56¢13+$0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?19¢2125%-$397.83

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$448.00
Jul 2026+$837.98
Aug 2026-$2.1K
Sep 2026+$2.0K
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Nov 2026-$631.84

How they build positions

Closed a position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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