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Stats as of

Marsache

0xd6bee3372a632e19d8c7dfc5985b720c286fa543

+$4.3K
Tracked Trades
302
First Seen
Nov 6, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 4, 2026
Best In Economic data
92% won · 12 settled · +$2.6K

Marsache is a Polymarket trader with 302 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 131 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $4.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 4.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$218.8K
Typical trade
$500
Avg entry
67¢
Polymarket rank
#7,851

Profit over time

+$14.7K-$3.0K
Nov 6Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3110%21%+11 pts
20 to 40¢5429%28%-1 pts
40 to 60¢3050%25%-25 pts
60 to 80¢3971%65%-7 pts
Over 80¢14892%89%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $2007643%-$32
$200 to $5007654%-$6.2K
$500 to $1.0K7572%-$120
$1.0K to $6.2K7588%+$10.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other politics14554%+$592
NBA4968%+$1.1K
Economic data1892%+$2.6K
Soccer1280%+$575
World politics2078%-$1.3K
Fed and rates10100%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied Marsache

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1034
Profit
on $11900 staked
68-51
Record
57% win rate
-9%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time119 settled trades
+$265-$1.0K
Jul 20Sep 28
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
201% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$4.1K won vs $5.1K lost
-6.2 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
74 trades

By category

finance10 settled+64%
politics88 settled-11%
culture10 settled-13%
crypto7 settled-54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $4.0K

The markets Marsache is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Marsache is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
Sep 27, 2 fills
Yes39¢$1.0K-$1.0K
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Sep 25, 4 fills
No94¢$6.2K+$427
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 15, 2 fills
No89¢$2.0K+$247
See every position across 113 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
    $5.1K on Yes at 36¢, Aug 5
    +$9.1K
  2. 2
    Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
    $3.3K on Yes at 47¢, Aug 11
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
    $1.4K on Yes at 28¢, Aug 10
    +$3.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?89¢10100%+$777
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?36¢9100%+$9.1K
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?89¢5100%+$670
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?28¢170%-$4.7K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?87¢6100%+$1.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 7Oct 4

Profit by month

Feb 2025-$50
May 2025+$289
Jun 2025-$1.1K
Jan 2026-$504
Feb 2026-$1.4K
Mar 2026+$2.3K
Apr 2026+$228
May 2026+$1.1K
Jun 2026+$861
Jul 2026+$2.8K
Aug 2026+$644
Sep 2026-$710

Polymarket leaderboards

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