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Stats as of

UnderperformingForALiving

0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5

-$125.5K
Tracked Trades
628
First Seen
Feb 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In US elections
48% won · 31 settled · +$211.8K

UnderperformingForALiving is a Polymarket trader with 628 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 94 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, -$125.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? on Nov 3.

Win rate
67%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$9.3M
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
67¢
Polymarket rank
#8,690

Profit over time

+$18.9K-$390.1K
Feb 23Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1159%29%+20 pts
20 to 40¢10328%0%-28 pts
40 to 60¢13451%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢13770%64%-6 pts
Over 80¢13994%90%-4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3115738%+$295.51
$33 to $1.1K15787%+$9.5K
$1.1K to $6.1K15768%-$14.8K
$6.1K to $616K15765%-$120.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections19248%+$211.8K
Economic data25100%+$4.8K
World politics19282%-$271.6K
College basketball5947%-$897.44
Soccer5343%-$56.5K
Fed and rates20100%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied UnderperformingForALiving

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$601.97
Profit
on $2,700.00 staked
15-12
Record
56% win rate
-22%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time27 settled trades
+$14.94-$643.88
Oct 19Nov 2
-$717.33
Max drawdown
2516% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.50×
Profit factor
$598.03 won vs $1.2K lost
+4.2 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

politics23 settled-31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $488.1K

The markets UnderperformingForALiving is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what UnderperformingForALiving is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Nov 3, 19 fills
Yes56¢sold 57¢$84.0K+$66.0K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Nov 3
No78¢$838.11+$236.39
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes10¢sold 10¢$10.4K-$10.4K
See every position across 186 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $383.9K on No at 69¢, Nov 2
    +$170.8K
  2. 2
    2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
    $225.1K on Yes at 74¢, Nov 2
    +$79.1K
  3. 3
    US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
    $13.7K on Yes at 16¢, Feb 27
    +$72.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House66¢3975%+$21.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?100¢6100%+$2.9K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?70¢40+$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?69¢19100%+$170.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?99¢15100%+$3.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$277.8K
Mar 2026-$828.32
Apr 2026-$9.4K
May 2026-$69.7K
Jun 2026-$12.16
Jul 2026+$11.2K
Oct 2026+$26.7K
Nov 2026+$194.4K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position79%
Opened a new position19%
Closed a position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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