rivomarkets
Polymarket

0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b

0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a

+$104.7K
Tracked Trades
888
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b is a Polymarket trader with 888 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 161 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, $104.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? on Sep 19.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$2.4M
Typical trade
$1.4K
Copy score
70/100
Polymarket rank
#168

Profit over time

+$104.7K-$14.9K
Aug 20Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16214%78%+64 pts
20 to 40¢10529%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢11151%48%-3 pts
60 to 80¢22272%76%+3 pts
Over 80¢26087%89%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $77221576%+$13.5K
$772 to $1.4K21571%+$7.3K
$1.5K to $3.1K21580%+$57.1K
$3.1K to $70K21576%+$26.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics41941%+$7.5K
Finance21396%+$94.0K
Culture22350%-$691
Sports5100%+$3.9K

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied 0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6488
Profit
on $21100 staked
161-50
Record
76% win rate
+31%
Return
345 still open
Profit over time211 settled trades
+$6.8K-$300
Aug 17Sep 14
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
31% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.30×
Profit factor
$11.5K won vs $5.0K lost
+3.1 pts
Edge vs implied
76% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
26 trades

By category

politics73 settled+48%
finance134 settled+21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

69 open positions worth $745.2K

The markets 0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b is holding

Recent positions

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Sep 19, 6 fills, avg 17¢
BUYYES$6.2KOpen
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 23¢
BUYNO$1.5KOpen
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sep 19, avg 54¢
BUYNO$1.0KOpen
See every position across 77 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $357.3K on No, Sep 16
    +$78.2K
  2. 2
    US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
    $7.4K on No, Aug 30
    +$72.9K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $39.3K on Yes, Sep 1
    +$39.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?19195%+$54.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?55+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?54+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?38+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?22100%+$39.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$51.5K
Sep 2026+$53.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position58%
Added to a position23%
Opened a new position11%
Closed a position7%
Flipped sides0%

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