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Stats as of

Danny283847490191

0xe495f596819a0554bd35cfa548ce5de04b01c165

-$670.21
Tracked Trades
185
First Seen
Feb 8, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

Danny283847490191 is a Polymarket trader with 185 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 52 wins and 83 losses on settled markets, -$670.21 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$22.3K
Typical trade
$15.00
Avg entry
44¢
Polymarket rank
#8,531

Profit over time

+$663.00-$917.00
Feb 8Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢838%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢3927%31%+4 pts
40 to 60¢1849%62%+12 pts
60 to 80¢1568%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢3091%95%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $24716%-$18.08
$3 to $154616%-$139.41
$15 to $1004650%+$88.32
$100 to $2.9K4670%-$601.04

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather12947%-$936.61
US elections3100%+$234.50
World politics1250%+$89.59
Economic data620%-$19.00
Companies1217%-$17.85
Bitcoin1415%-$3.84

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied Danny283847490191

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

4 of 5 needed have resolved. 9 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $6.2K

The markets Danny283847490191 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Danny283847490191 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Sep 16, 4 fills
Yes94¢$982.76+$57.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?
Sep 15
Yes20¢$100.00-$100.00
Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Sep 14
No95¢$170.11+$9.89
See every position across 82 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
    $1.8K on Yes at 74¢, Jul 15
    +$631.70
  2. 2
    Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
    $741.00 on Yes at 54¢, Apr 30
    +$623.74
  3. 3
    Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
    $127.23 on Yes at 35¢, Mar 6
    +$235.30
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?93¢3+$0.00
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?40¢660%-$31.60
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?93¢2100%+$137.61
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?42¢625%-$341.40
Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?90¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Feb 2025+$110.37
Jan 2026+$213.86
Feb 2026-$50.50
Mar 2026+$184.62
Apr 2026-$111.58
May 2026-$340.91
Jun 2026-$139.42
Jul 2026-$783.75
Aug 2026+$279.97
Sep 2026-$32.87

Polymarket leaderboards

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