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Stats as of

aff3

0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924

+$29.2K
Tracked Trades
218
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Tennis
100% won · 17 settled · +$11.5K

aff3 is a Polymarket trader with 218 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 45 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $29.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? on Nov 3.

Win rate
96%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$1.3M
Typical trade
$1.8K
Avg entry
89¢
Polymarket rank
#1,020

Profit over time

+$34.2K+$0.00
Aug 20Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢338%
40 to 60¢854%100%+46 pts
60 to 80¢1971%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢18888%95%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$504 to $89255100%+$153.05
$892 to $1.8K55100%+$6.0K
$1.8K to $6.5K5490%+$3.9K
$6.7K to $143K54100%+$19.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics14489%+$1.4K
Tennis46100%+$11.5K
US elections11100%+$14.8K
Other crypto7+$0.00
US politics4+$0.00
Companies3100%+$953.77

Side taken

Yes 16%84% No

If you had copied aff3

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$278.28
Profit
on $1,900.00 staked
18-1
Record
95% win rate
+15%
Return
11 still open
Profit over time19 settled trades
+$370.75+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 19 so far.

By category

sports5 settled+34%
culture6 settled+11%
politics7 settled+2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $740.1K

The markets aff3 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aff3 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 2, 4 fills
Yes89¢sold 95¢$39.4K+$5.0K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 25, 5 fills
No85¢sold 65¢$6.2K-$6.2K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Oct 18, 16 fills
No85¢sold 85¢$40.0KExited
See every position across 32 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
    $18.6K on Yes at 65¢, Aug 21
    +$9.9K
  2. 2
    US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
    $8.8K on Ben Shelton at 59¢, Sep 9
    +$6.1K
  3. 3
    Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $39.4K on Yes at 89¢, Sep 23
    +$5.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?95¢8+$0.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?85¢53+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?89¢4100%+$5.0K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢16+$0.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?83¢23+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$17.0K
Sep 2026+$17.1K
Oct 2026-$4.9K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position45%
Added to a position27%
Opened a new position22%
Closed a position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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