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Stats as of

456ythgbvcadscvb

0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0

+$297.2K
Tracked Trades
635
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 29, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
88% won · 138 settled · +$330.2K

456ythgbvcadscvb is a Polymarket trader with 635 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 273 wins and 54 losses on settled markets, $297.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? on Oct 29.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+49%
Money traded
$1.6M
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
54¢
Polymarket rank
#162

Profit over time

+$355.9K+$0.00
Aug 21Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2711%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢5633%96%+63 pts
40 to 60¢17851%81%+30 pts
60 to 80¢22868%79%+11 pts
Over 80¢14689%95%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $62215996%+$9.1K
$622 to $1.1K15979%+$24.5K
$1.1K to $3.0K15978%+$52.3K
$3.0K to $29K15871%+$211.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates29488%+$330.2K
World politics23078%-$42.3K
US elections54+$0.00
NFL12100%+$5.8K
Economic data12+$0.00
Bitcoin23+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied 456ythgbvcadscvb

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$215.97
Profit
on $2,100.00 staked
14-7
Record
67% win rate
+10%
Return
21 still open
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$541.24+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 26
-$400.08
Max drawdown
66% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.31×
Profit factor
$915.97 won vs $700.00 lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
67% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

finance9 settled+23%
politics7 settled-19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $49.4K

The markets 456ythgbvcadscvb is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 456ythgbvcadscvb is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Oct 29, 2 fills
No59¢sold 68¢$590.00Exited
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Oct 29, 2 fills
No70¢sold 70¢$1.8KExited
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Oct 29, 4 fills
No70¢sold 74¢$3.6KExited
See every position across 45 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $214.3K on Yes at 44¢, Sep 11
    +$269.8K
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $114.9K on No at 53¢, Sep 14
    +$102.6K
  3. 3
    Fed rate hike in 2026?
    $50.1K on Yes at 69¢, Sep 15
    +$22.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?45¢11498%+$259.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51¢7788%+$74.9K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?67¢18478%-$42.8K
Fed rate hike in 2026?69¢43100%+$22.4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?70¢1630%-$15.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 1Oct 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$217.0K
Sep 2026+$103.4K
Oct 2026-$23.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position61%
Added to a position22%
Closed a position11%
Opened a new position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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