PolymarketPROBABILITYTRADER
0xef2684030d14a67c2a30a3e4fc00eed7a99505ba
+$51.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 949
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
PROBABILITYTRADER is a Polymarket trader with 949 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 401 wins and 470 losses on settled markets, $51.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $1.2M
- Typical trade
- $1.0K
- Copy score
- 43/100
- Polymarket rank
- #331
Profit over time
+$66.4K-$38.6K
Aug 20Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢219%0%-19 pts
20 to 40¢16233%26%-7 pts
40 to 60¢63350%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢5663%70%+7 pts
Over 80¢1486%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$41 to $67221739%-$19.0K
$675 to $1.0K21740%-$21.5K
$1.0K to $1.8K21747%-$3.9K
$1.8K to $7.5K21658%+$92.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports86546%+$51.2K
Crypto20%-$3.7K
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied PROBABILITYTRADER
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$3793
Profit
on $80300 staked
368-435
Record
46% win rate
-5%
Return
8 still open
+$0-$4.6K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$6.1K
Max drawdown
1224% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$39.7K won vs $43.5K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 19
- Deepest drawdown
- 233 trades
By category
sports801 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 42¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
Sep 19, 5 fills, avg 37¢
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-19?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 54¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$16.9KDota 2: MOUZ vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winner$11.7K on MOUZ, Sep 9
- 2+$16.8KDota 2: Team Synapse vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner$14.1K on Team Synapse, Sep 8
- 3+$12.9KLoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner$13.6K on FlyQuest, Sep 13
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs9100%+$3.6K
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs1227%-$2.3K
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner10100%+$16.8K
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner667%+$9.7K
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner7100%+$12.9K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$26.8K
Sep 2026+$74.3K
How they build positions
Opened a new position69%
Closed a position31%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy PROBABILITYTRADER's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.