rivomarkets

Stats as of

Umaroth

0xefde9ff487fae209ab6e3157a8acb4276f9c783d

+$6.8K
Tracked Trades
1,080
First Seen
Mar 9, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In World politics
56% won · 242 settled · +$4.9K

Umaroth is a Polymarket trader with 1,080 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 260 wins and 190 losses on settled markets, $6.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? on Oct 15.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$333.9K
Typical trade
$180
Avg entry
44¢
Polymarket rank
#2,951

Profit over time

+$12.5K-$4.9K
Mar 9Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22211%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢26529%37%+8 pts
40 to 60¢23949%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢19868%72%+4 pts
Over 80¢15690%96%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2627040%-$124
$26 to $18027060%+$1.6K
$180 to $48027062%+$6.5K
$480 to $2.5K27065%-$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics63056%+$4.9K
Soccer5135%-$1.5K
Economic data4342%-$1.4K
Other crypto4570%+$2.3K
Mentions6360%-$735
Bitcoin2667%+$57

Side taken

Yes 51%49% No

If you had copied Umaroth

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$227
Profit
on $4500 staked
28-17
Record
62% win rate
-5%
Return
30 still open
Profit over time45 settled trades
+$156-$345
Jul 20Oct 12
-$774
Max drawdown
217% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.7K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

finance5 settled+63%
politics19 settled-8%
culture15 settled-14%
crypto5 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $7.4K

The markets Umaroth is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Umaroth is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Oct 15, 2 fills
Yes63¢$1.3K+$742
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Oct 14, 2 fills
No26¢sold 23¢$520Exited
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Oct 13, 5 fills
Yes17¢sold 16¢$1.5KExited
See every position across 472 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3.4K on Yes at 40¢, Jun 14
    +$5.0K
  2. 2
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2.3K on Yes at 32¢, Jun 14
    +$4.8K
  3. 3
    US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $1.6K on No at 31¢, May 29
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?41¢9+$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?44¢1229%-$3.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?40¢2178%+$2.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?40¢1486%+$4.9K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?65¢1480%+$685

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$3.0K
Apr 2026-$5.8K
May 2026+$9.8K
Jun 2026-$541
Jul 2026+$262
Aug 2026-$602
Sep 2026-$358
Oct 2026+$1.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position69%
Closed a position31%

Polymarket leaderboards

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