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Stats as of

Tourte-chaude

0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
May 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Companies
47% won · 189 settled · +$3.3K

Tourte-chaude is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 445 wins and 509 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? on Sep 30.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$47.0K
Typical trade
$19.50
Avg entry
35¢
Polymarket rank
#8,376

Profit over time

+$7.5K-$358.00
May 19Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢34710%22%+12 pts
20 to 40¢22129%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢9549%42%-6 pts
60 to 80¢6368%52%-16 pts
Over 80¢27497%96%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $725030%+$214.50
$7 to $2025041%+$3.2K
$20 to $5625039%+$1.4K
$56 to $1.2K25078%-$3.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather19499%-$20.89
Tech and AI46925%-$3.0K
Companies19747%+$3.3K
World politics2644%-$240.08
Soccer4043%+$812.08
Bitcoin1255%-$53.40

Side taken

Yes 22%78% No

If you had copied Tourte-chaude

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,276.36
Profit
on $1,800.00 staked
8-10
Record
44% win rate
+126%
Return
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$2.7K+$0.00
Jul 27Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

finance10 settled+229%
culture8 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Sep 30, 8 fills
Yes4¢$158.76-$158.76
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Sep 30, 6 fills
No16¢$174.90-$174.90
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 6 fills
Yes6¢$57.07-$57.07
See every position across 348 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
    $608.96 on No at 14¢, Jun 25
    +$3.7K
  2. 2
    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
    $45.79 on No at 3¢, Jun 22
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
    $293.16 on No at 20¢, Jun 22
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?37¢363%-$1.6K
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?99¢3100%+$1.61
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?100¢2100%+$1.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?100¢2100%+$1.50
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?33¢190%-$947.81

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

May 2026-$85.61
Jun 2026+$1.2K
Jul 2026+$358.70
Aug 2026+$557.37
Sep 2026-$484.40

Polymarket leaderboards

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