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Stats as of
Polymarketbaitiaobai
0xf2164d15c8392b273c078b56858ce4e824974844
+$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,004
- First Seen
- Jan 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In Weather
- 62% won · 629 settled · +$1.2K
baitiaobai is a Polymarket trader with 1,004 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 398 wins and 255 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23? on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 61%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $30.2K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 63¢
- Polymarket rank
- #3,646
Profit over time
+$1.1K-$176
Jan 7Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢28610%14%+4 pts
20 to 40¢21529%38%+9 pts
40 to 60¢11149%55%+6 pts
60 to 80¢10370%84%+15 pts
Over 80¢28992%95%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $325124%+$13
$3 to $825157%+$409
$8 to $2825157%+$244
$28 to $83325186%+$435
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Weather96962%+$1.2K
Bitcoin3050%-$73
XRP20%-$16
World politics1100%+$2
Ethereum10%-$3
Solana10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied baitiaobai
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$11267
Profit
on $16500 staked
82-83
Record
50% win rate
+68%
Return
+$11.3K+$0
Jul 20Oct 12
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
14% below peak
6.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.36×
Profit factor
$19.6K won vs $8.3K lost
+4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 56 trades
By category
culture165 settled+68%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?
Oct 23
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?
Oct 15, 2 fills
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?
Oct 13, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$179Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?$1.6K on No at 90¢, Oct 15
- 2+$144Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?$30 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 11
- 3+$133Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?$37 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?91¢4100%+$74
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?90¢2100%+$179
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on January 10?98¢12100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 7?86¢10100%+$77
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on January 12?98¢5100%+$14
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$184
Feb 2026+$81
Mar 2026-$6
Apr 2026+$16
May 2026+$31
Jun 2026+$400
Jul 2026+$316
Aug 2026-$27
Sep 2026+$5
Oct 2026+$467
How they build positions
Trimmed a position100%
Polymarket leaderboards
Similar Polymarket traders
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