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Stats as of

Treadmilled

0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933

+$92.7K
Tracked Trades
87
First Seen
Aug 31, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In US elections
90% won · 51 settled · +$62.0K

Treadmilled is a Polymarket trader with 87 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $92.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House on Nov 4.

Win rate
91%
Return on settled
+47%
Money traded
$227.0K
Typical trade
$1.3K
Avg entry
55¢
Polymarket rank
#430

Profit over time

+$98.3K-$23.2K
Aug 31Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢2135%76%+41 pts
40 to 60¢3253%92%+39 pts
60 to 80¢2574%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢986%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$509 to $6792290%+$7.8K
$692 to $1.3K22100%+$12.4K
$1.3K to $2.6K2284%+$25.8K
$2.6K to $28K2188%+$46.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections5190%+$62.0K
Fed and rates2992%+$30.7K
World politics7+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 34%66% No

If you had copied Treadmilled

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$236.17
Profit
on $900.00 staked
6-3
Record
67% win rate
+26%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$236.17-$21.43
Aug 31Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

politics7 settled+37%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $22.0K

The markets Treadmilled is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Treadmilled is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Nov 4, 17 fills
Yes79¢$33.6K+$9.0K
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
No31¢$3.1K-$3.1K
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes32¢$4.5K-$4.5K
See every position across 10 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $68.7K on No at 56¢, Sep 2
    +$53.9K
  2. 2
    Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    $16.3K on Yes at 36¢, Nov 3
    +$29.1K
  3. 3
    Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    $10.4K on No at 36¢, Nov 3
    +$18.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56¢22100%+$53.9K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House79¢17100%+$9.0K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?45¢70%-$23.2K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?73¢11100%+$10.8K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢7+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$22.4K
Sep 2026+$8.3K
Nov 2026+$62.0K

How they build positions

Added to a position57%
Opened a new position27%
Trimmed a position17%

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