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Stats as of

MrMarket

0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114

+$6.3K
Tracked Trades
1,054
First Seen
Feb 11, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In World politics
52% won · 246 settled · +$25.1K

MrMarket is a Polymarket trader with 1,054 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 226 wins and 276 losses on settled markets, $6.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$499.2K
Typical trade
$113.83
Avg entry
8¢
Polymarket rank
#2,305

Profit over time

+$25.4K-$4.1K
Feb 11Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4787%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢12428%38%+10 pts
40 to 60¢7348%70%+22 pts
60 to 80¢10370%83%+13 pts
Over 80¢27693%94%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2426424%+$34.89
$24 to $11526443%-$2.1K
$115 to $55226349%-$9.2K
$552 to $11K26374%+$17.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics44952%+$25.1K
US elections17384%+$496.38
US politics9326%-$4.5K
Soccer5014%-$12.8K
Economic data7939%+$702.17
Commodities1843%-$488.10

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied MrMarket

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$307.43
Profit
on $1,400.00 staked
10-4
Record
71% win rate
-22%
Return
50 still open
Profit over time14 settled trades
+$0.00-$369.56
Aug 10Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 14 so far.

By category

politics14 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

45 open positions worth $20.3K

The markets MrMarket is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what MrMarket is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4, 12 fills
Yes89¢sold 93¢$5.2KExited
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Nov 4, 3 fills
Yes86¢sold 90¢$1.1KExited
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Nov 4
Sold Yessold 78¢$552.13Exited
See every position across 352 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
    $14.9K on Yes at 39¢, May 12
    +$23.2K
  2. 2
    Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    $10.7K on Yes at 59¢, Jun 15
    +$7.5K
  3. 3
    Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
    $3.7K on No at 45¢, May 26
    +$4.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?39¢3493%+$22.6K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?59¢18100%+$7.5K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?87¢8+$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?83¢6100%+$2.3K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2¢28+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$340.60
Mar 2026-$3.4K
Apr 2026+$6.9K
May 2026+$20.0K
Jun 2026-$8.4K
Jul 2026-$9.6K
Aug 2026+$218.16
Sep 2026-$2.2K
Oct 2026-$3.83
Nov 2026+$3.0K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position87%
Opened a new position13%

Polymarket leaderboards

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