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Stats as of

Rumpelstiltskin

0xfb1b4e2db61efb47bfb1ac92807c76d4f367a11d

+$19.7K
Tracked Trades
76
First Seen
Aug 31, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
90% won · 42 settled · +$18.9K

Rumpelstiltskin is a Polymarket trader with 76 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 47 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $19.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
92%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$114.0K
Typical trade
$898.59
Avg entry
72¢
Polymarket rank
#1,306

Profit over time

+$22.5K+$0.00
Aug 31Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢232%
40 to 60¢1550%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢3373%90%+17 pts
Over 80¢2691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$501 to $6711985%+$1.3K
$671 to $89919100%+$1.8K
$899 to $2.1K1982%+$417.29
$2.2K to $9.0K19100%+$16.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI6490%+$18.9K
Companies12100%+$866.94

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied Rumpelstiltskin

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$326.33
Profit
on $1,800.00 staked
16-2
Record
89% win rate
+18%
Return
10 still open
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$479.59+$0.00
Aug 31Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

culture15 settled+19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

10 open positions worth $24.4K

The markets Rumpelstiltskin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Rumpelstiltskin is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?
Oct 19, 2 fills
Yes57¢$1.2K-$1.2K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Oct 18, 12 fills
Yes68¢sold 73¢$13.8K+$6.6K
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Oct 16, 2 fills
Yes92¢$1.1K+$96.80
See every position across 28 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
    $6.8K on Yes at 49¢, Sep 4
    +$7.2K
  2. 2
    Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    $13.8K on Yes at 68¢, Oct 13
    +$6.6K
  3. 3
    Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
    $18.0K on Yes at 90¢, Sep 4
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?68¢12100%+$6.6K
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?90¢2100%+$2.0K
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?90¢9100%+$1.6K
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?63¢4+$0.00
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?49¢4100%+$7.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026+$17.2K
Oct 2026+$1.5K

How they build positions

Opened a new position40%
Trimmed a position40%
Added to a position20%

Polymarket leaderboards

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