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Stats as of

XAE12Archangel

0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029

+$124.4K
Tracked Trades
921
First Seen
Aug 2, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
83% won · 346 settled · +$148.6K

XAE12Archangel is a Polymarket trader with 921 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 355 wins and 92 losses on settled markets, $124.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
79%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$3.4M
Typical trade
$1.3K
Avg entry
70¢
Polymarket rank
#341

Profit over time

+$130.6K-$13.4K
Aug 2Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢868%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢7429%11%-18 pts
40 to 60¢6350%36%-14 pts
60 to 80¢16775%87%+12 pts
Over 80¢53188%98%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $75123172%-$2.0K
$751 to $1.3K23080%-$3.7K
$1.3K to $3.3K23073%-$22.8K
$3.3K to $48K23089%+$152.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates59583%+$148.6K
Commodities14277%-$893.92
US elections10944%-$27.0K
World politics3995%+$2.5K
Bitcoin13100%+$56.19
US politics8100%+$1.1K

Side taken

Yes 28%72% No

If you had copied XAE12Archangel

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$527.70
Profit
on $4,300.00 staked
27-16
Record
63% win rate
-12%
Return
26 still open
Profit over time43 settled trades
+$83.34-$538.35
Aug 3Nov 2
-$637.98
Max drawdown
640% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.67×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $1.6K lost
-4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 67¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
21 trades

By category

finance13 settled-10%
politics17 settled-13%
culture13 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

16 open positions worth $35.6K

The markets XAE12Archangel is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what XAE12Archangel is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Nov 4
No100¢$1.6K+$3.19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Nov 4, 8 fills
Yes18¢sold 12¢$5.2KExited
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
Sold Yessold 97¢$4.1KExited
See every position across 78 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $803.4K on No at 82¢, Sep 16
    +$170.7K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    $569.7K on No at 91¢, Oct 27
    +$55.9K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $208.6K on Yes at 86¢, Sep 16
    +$34.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?81¢26297%+$161.8K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?46¢14956%-$50.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?91¢4898%+$55.2K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?88¢84+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?48¢2864%-$9.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$8.9K
Sep 2026+$103.4K
Oct 2026+$32.9K
Nov 2026-$3.0K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position54%
Added to a position23%
Opened a new position15%
Closed a position8%
Flipped sides0%

Polymarket leaderboards

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