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Stats as of

surf

0xfd2b117412a698f322b0cd18d6827dad262b8e50

+$54.9K
Tracked Trades
54
First Seen
Sep 14, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In US elections
69% won · 29 settled · +$52.0K

surf is a Polymarket trader with 54 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $54.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+73%
Money traded
$207.5K
Typical trade
$1.7K
Avg entry
43¢
Polymarket rank
#628

Profit over time

+$60.5K+$0.00
Sep 14Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢610%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢2334%80%+46 pts
40 to 60¢1851%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢577%100%+23 pts
Over 80¢287%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$513 to $7961482%+$6.3K
$825 to $1.8K1458%+$10.9K
$1.9K to $3.8K1357%+$6.1K
$4.8K to $26K13100%+$31.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics20+$0.00
US elections2969%+$52.0K
Fed and rates580%+$2.9K

Side taken

Yes 19%81% No

If you had copied surf

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$38.18
Profit
on $900.00 staked
5-4
Record
56% win rate
+4%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$38.18-$55.18
Sep 14Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

politics6 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $131.8K

The markets surf is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what surf is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4, 5 fills
No9¢$4.5K-$4.5K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
Yes10¢$1.1K-$1.1K
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 14 fills
No37¢$32.6K+$56.6K
See every position across 10 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    $32.6K on No at 37¢, Nov 4
    +$56.6K
  2. 2
    Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    $4.9K on Yes at 34¢, Nov 4
    +$9.4K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    $8.6K on No at 79¢, Oct 1
    +$2.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?51¢17+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?37¢14100%+$56.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?87¢2100%+$1.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?64¢367%+$1.4K
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?35¢30%-$9.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.6K
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Nov 2026+$52.0K

How they build positions

Added to a position74%
Opened a new position26%

Polymarket leaderboards

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