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Stats as of

MTD

0xfd39b573bc2aa618c9bc226624e985133c1d109d

+$34.0K
Tracked Trades
18
First Seen
Oct 21, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In US elections
100% won · 18 settled · +$15.9K

MTD is a Polymarket trader with 18 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $34.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Oct 31.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+42%
Money traded
$89.5K
Typical trade
$885.00
Avg entry
72¢
Polymarket rank
#3,538

Profit over time

+$34.0K+$0.00
Oct 21Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
60 to 80¢969%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢985%100%+15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$510 to $7505100%+$600.00
$820 to $9505100%+$720.00
$6.5K to $6.7K4100%+$9.9K
$8.2K to $19K4100%+$22.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections18100%+$34.0K

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied MTD

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$312.64
Profit
on $1,200.00 staked
12-0
Record
100% win rate
+26%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time12 settled trades
+$312.64+$0.00
Oct 19Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 12 so far.

By category

politics12 settled+26%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $7.5K

The markets MTD is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what MTD is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Oct 29, 5 fills
No82¢sold 84¢$3.3K+$720.00
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Oct 25, 2 fills
Yes75¢sold 74¢$750.00Exited
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Oct 25, 2 fills
Yes82¢$16.4K+$3.6K
See every position across 7 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    $40.3K on Yes at 67¢, Oct 25
    +$19.7K
  2. 2
    Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    $20.1K on No at 67¢, Oct 25
    +$9.9K
  3. 3
    Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
    $16.4K on Yes at 82¢, Oct 25
    +$3.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?67¢4100%+$19.7K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?67¢3100%+$9.9K
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?82¢2100%+$3.6K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢1+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?82¢5100%+$720.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$34.0K

How they build positions

Opened a new position60%
Added to a position20%
Closed a position10%
Trimmed a position10%

Polymarket leaderboards

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