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Stats as of
aaronsblind
-$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 633
- First Seen
- Jun 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 32% won · 37 settled · +$747.42
aaronsblind is a Kalshi trader with 633 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 210 losses on settled markets, -$1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ozan Baris wins on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- -7%
- Money traded
- $54.7K
- Typical trade
- $39.84
- Avg entry
- 34¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,981
Profit over time
+$253.00-$2.3K
Jun 26Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1408%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢12431%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢15449%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢10669%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢10989%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1015938%+$111.21
$10 to $4015845%+$96.23
$41 to $9715844%-$17.81
$97 to $1.1K15843%-$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis52643%-$1.8K
Parlays6032%+$747.42
Baseball1450%-$405.86
Bitcoin2175%+$180.32
Soccer620%-$216.53
Other crypto4100%+$31.75
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied aaronsblind
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,144.58
Profit
on $12,700.00 staked
56-71
Record
44% win rate
+17%
Return
+$2.2K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 5
-$740.98
Max drawdown
27% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$9.2K won vs $7.1K lost
+4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 39¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
sports127 settled+17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Ozan Baris wins
Oct 26
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DIOFRUIWLZ5NTU4P-DWZB5NBWN
Oct 16
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263RJ2G224AOO4RNVO-CLPUXPFMT
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$893.59yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Jia-Jing Lu,yes Wushuang Zheng$279.10 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 4
- 2+$495.06yes Gustavo Heide,yes Dominick Mosejczuk,yes Astra Sharma,yes Rose Marie Nijkamp,yes Ana Sofia Sanchez$65.90 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 3
- 3+$377.89Will Adrienn Nagy win the Nagy vs Meri: W15 Mogyoród Final match?$220.55 on Yes at 37¢, Jul 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Anuj Watane win the Watane vs Blaydes: M25 Roehampton Round of 32 match?18¢30%-$213.88
Will Kayla Day win the Day vs Hontama: Round Of 32 match?51¢20%-$441.79
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45¢2175%+$180.32
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267DFF0ADE98B-2C21D5C94101+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026824A4868EFD-09D01117F121+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$438.01
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026-$472.72
Oct 2026+$604.26
Kalshi leaderboards
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