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Stats as of

accused.bear8856

+$3.5K
Tracked Trades
538
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In MMA
36% won · 69 settled · +$1.0K

accused.bear8856 is a Kalshi trader with 538 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 91 wins and 278 losses on settled markets, $3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Julian Erosa,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Dakota Hope,yes Tom Nolan,yes Zach Reese,yes Luana Santos,yes Rodrigo Sezinando,yes Lucia Szabova on Oct 30.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
+30%
Money traded
$21.5K
Typical trade
$22.92
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#5,310

Profit over time

+$3.5K-$1.6K
Jul 2Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2456%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢3728%56%+27 pts
40 to 60¢3851%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢3770%53%-16 pts
Over 80¢2088%71%-17 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $18958%+$1.8K
$18 to $239422%+$1.8K
$23 to $479428%+$1.5K
$47 to $1.7K9434%-$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays24711%+$2.8K
Tennis5545%-$458.91
MMA5838%+$1.0K
Boxing60%-$108.10
NFL350%+$168.36
Soccer560%+$28.13

Side taken

Yes 91%9% No

If you had copied accused.bear8856

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$28,702.19
Profit
on $16,700.00 staked
24-143
Record
14% win rate
+172%
Return
53 still open
Profit over time167 settled trades
+$28.7K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 26
-$6.6K
Max drawdown
34% below peak
4.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.01×
Profit factor
$43.0K won vs $14.3K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
92 trades

By category

sports166 settled+174%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

53 open positions worth $1.9K

The markets accused.bear8856 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what accused.bear8856 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Julian Erosa,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Dakota Hope,yes Tom Nolan,yes Zach Reese,yes Luana Santos,yes Rodrigo Sezinando,yes Lucia Szabova
Oct 30
Yes1¢$13.96+$2.1K
yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Julian Erosa,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Dakota Hope,yes Tom Nolan,yes Zach Reese,yes Luana Santos,yes Theodor Berggren,yes Lucia Szabova
Oct 30
Yes0¢$18.60-$18.60
yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Julian Erosa,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Farman Hasanov,yes Dakota Hope,yes Tom Nolan,yes Zach Reese,yes Luana Santos,yes Theodor Berggren,yes Lucia Szabova
Oct 30
Yes0¢$18.62-$18.62
See every position across 271 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Steven Asplund,yes Caroline Foro Antunes,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Diego Ferreira,yes Quillan Salkilld,yes Miles Johns,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Juliana Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa,yes Jose Montanha Da Silva
    $18.60 on Yes at 1¢, Aug 8
    +$2.3K
  2. 2
    yes Jacobe Smith,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Julian Erosa,yes Joe Kropschot,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Dakota Hope,yes Tom Nolan,yes Zach Reese,yes Luana Santos,yes Rodrigo Sezinando,yes Lucia Szabova
    $13.96 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 30
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    yes Curtis Blaydes,yes Alexa Grasso,yes Thomas Gantt,yes David Martinez,yes Tommy McMillen,yes Brandon Moreno,yes Jean Silva
    $26.64 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 11
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?10¢2+$0.00
yes Steven Asplund,yes Caroline Foro Antunes,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Diego Ferreira,yes Quillan Salkilld,yes Miles Johns,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Juliana Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa,yes Jose Montanha Da Silva1¢2100%+$2.3K
Will Tianhui Zhang win the Zhang vs Lomakin: M15 Wuning Round of 16 match?58¢2100%+$351.72
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-SHARD1-S20260CD24BD253F-D900DF5AF3458¢10%-$971.07
yes Conor McGregor,yes Paddy Pimblett16¢30%-$875.43

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$1.8K
Aug 2026+$2.7K
Sep 2026+$1.0K
Oct 2026+$1.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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