rivomarkets

freshbaker

+$32.8K
Tracked Trades
1,014
First Seen
Jul 17, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 3, 2026
Followers
230

freshbaker is a Kalshi trader with 1,014 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 155 wins and 98 losses on settled markets, $32.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Jakub Mensik win the US Open Men's Singles? on Sep 3.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
+40%
Money traded
$318.5K
Typical trade
$25
Copy score
55/100
Kalshi rank
#265

Profit over time

+$32.8K-$1.6K
Jul 19Sep 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1099%6%-3 pts
20 to 40¢18332%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢16649%3%-46 pts
60 to 80¢23070%98%+28 pts
Over 80¢32691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525429%-$76
$5 to $2525470%-$76
$25 to $17625362%-$1.1K
$176 to $17K25377%+$34.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports367%+$29.4K
Culture1+$0

Side taken

Yes 42%58% No

If you had copied freshbaker

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$4793
Profit
on $25300 staked
155-98
Record
61% win rate
-19%
Return
420 still open
Profit over time253 settled trades
+$0-$6.1K
Jul 13Aug 31
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.51×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $9.8K lost
-1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
249 trades

By category

other250 settled-25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

81 open positions worth $134.3K

The markets freshbaker is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what freshbaker is holding

Recent positions

Will Jakub Mensik win the US Open Men's Singles?
Sep 3, 8 fills, avg 98¢
SELLNO$386Open
Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday?
Sep 3, 49 fills, avg 70¢
SELLYES$617Open
Will Jakub Mensik win the US Open Men's Singles?
Sep 1, 2 fills, avg 98¢
BUYNO$202+$4
See every position across 95 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Novak Djokovic wins
    $1.9K on No, Aug 31
    +$29.5K
  2. 2
    Will Marin Cilic win the Tiafoe vs Cilic: Round Of 64 match?
    $15.3K on No, Aug 5
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    Will Ben Shelton win the Fonseca vs Shelton: Round Of 16 match?
    $12.1K on Yes, Aug 9
    +$2.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Sungjae Im win the The Open Championship?17+$0
Will Marin Cilic win the Tiafoe vs Cilic: Round Of 64 match?7088%+$525
Will Yuki Mochizuki win the Dellavedova vs Mochizuki: M15 Tianjin Final match?39100%+$432
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?7847%-$535
Will Chicago WS win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 6Sep 3

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$535
Aug 2026+$33.4K
Sep 2026+$0

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy freshbaker on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.