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Stats as of
adorable.greenfinch4787
+$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 391
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 29, 2026
adorable.greenfinch4787 is a Kalshi trader with 391 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 103 wins and 123 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 29.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- +11%
- Money traded
- $55.2K
- Typical trade
- $95.71
- Avg entry
- 36¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,393
Profit over time
+$4.4K+$0.00
Aug 20Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢778%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢7430%41%+10 pts
40 to 60¢12350%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢7869%76%+7 pts
Over 80¢3990%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $349828%-$0.42
$35 to $969848%+$1.5K
$96 to $2229846%-$297.16
$222 to $7169767%+$1.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin38646%+$2.9K
Commodities350%+$43.10
Ethereum20%-$4.69
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied adorable.greenfinch4787
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,035.95
Profit
on $16,900.00 staked
79-90
Record
47% win rate
+6%
Return
+$1.0K+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 19
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
424% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$10.0K won vs $9.0K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
crypto166 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 29, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 25
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23, 10 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$292.24 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 22
- 2+$553.22BTC price up in next 15 mins?$480.10 on No at 46¢, Oct 22
- 3+$548.63BTC price up in next 15 mins?$381.25 on Yes at 41¢, Oct 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?35¢34248%+$4.0K
Bitcoin price on Oct 16, 2026?44¢1544%+$118.06
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026?38¢1527%+$207.00
Bitcoin price on Oct 23, 2026?52¢20%-$379.26
Bitcoin price on Oct 21, 2026?43¢433%-$69.79
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 1Oct 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$120.69
Oct 2026+$2.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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