rivomarkets

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Stats as of

autofade

+$9.9K
Tracked Trades
2,707
First Seen
Jul 11, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In NFL
97% won · 804 settled · +$5.7K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active sports traders who bet one side: BWmarkets, call.road, Bizzle333

autofade is a Kalshi trader with 2,707 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,869 wins and 35 losses on settled markets, $9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
98%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$879.3K
Typical trade
$28.95
Avg entry
93¢
Kalshi rank
#772

Profit over time

+$9.9K+$0.00
Jul 11Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7842%0%-2 pts
20 to 40¢627%50%+23 pts
40 to 60¢2449%
60 to 80¢875%100%+25 pts
Over 80¢188599%100%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $467791%-$14.23
$4 to $2967797%-$21.46
$29 to $12867799%+$161.85
$129 to $28K676100%+$9.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL115397%+$5.7K
College football625100%+$1.9K
WNBA27299%+$698.80
Tech and AI116100%+$339.12
Mentions315100%+$960.02
Golf5291%+$137.13

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied autofade

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$601.06
Profit
on $20,100.00 staked
187-14
Record
93% win rate
-3%
Return
Profit over time201 settled trades
+$0.00-$602.07
Aug 17Oct 26
-$679.77
Max drawdown
1095% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$798.94 won vs $1.4K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 91¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
110 trades

By category

culture5 settled+15%
other111 settled-2%
sports85 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
Nov 3
Sold Yessold 7¢$990.00Exited
Christian Watson: 120+ receiving yards
Oct 30
Sold Yessold 59¢$885.00Exited
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 100+ receiving yards
Oct 26, 2 fills
Yes99¢$21.1K+$213.00
See every position across 246 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Saquon Barkley: 16+ rushing attempts
    $407.89 on No at 30¢, Sep 20
    +$952.11
  2. 2
    What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland?
    $9.8K on Yes at 94¢, Jul 12
    +$572.59
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker III: 90+ rushing yards
    $41.4K on Yes at 99¢, Oct 18
    +$418.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Kenneth Walker III: 90+ rushing yards99¢2100%+$418.00
Carolina wins by over 2.5 points?95¢7295%+$265.69
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?99¢45100%+$328.58
Mike Evans: 60+ receiving yards99¢1100%+$284.35
KXNFLPASSYDS-26OCT25PITNO-PITARODGERS8-17599¢1100%+$272.92

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$1.4K
Aug 2026+$855.50
Sep 2026+$4.1K
Oct 2026+$3.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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