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Stats as of

rationz

+$9.9K
Tracked Trades
527
First Seen
Aug 29, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Golf
56% won · 430 settled · +$6.5K

rationz is a Kalshi trader with 527 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 311 wins and 206 losses on settled markets, $9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXPGAROUNDSCORE-WOWTC26R1-BJAM68 on Nov 4.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
+17%
Money traded
$66.3K
Typical trade
$59.40
Avg entry
18¢
Kalshi rank
#771

Profit over time

+$12.3K-$246.00
Aug 29Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1822%3%+1 pts
20 to 40¢1333%69%+36 pts
40 to 60¢5551%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢6067%90%+23 pts
Over 80¢21798%100%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1313212%+$508.68
$14 to $5913264%-$812.07
$59 to $9113291%-$96.90
$95 to $1.7K13174%+$10.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Golf43856%+$6.5K
NFL3172%+$2.4K
Soccer3897%+$936.77
Baseball757%-$107.25
College football863%-$29.17
NBA4100%+$249.56

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied rationz

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$8,415.70
Profit
on $36,400.00 staked
247-117
Record
68% win rate
+23%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time364 settled trades
+$8.5K-$891.84
Aug 24Nov 2
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
93% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.72×
Profit factor
$20.1K won vs $11.7K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
68% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
51 trades

By category

sports350 settled+24%
other12 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $2.6K

The markets rationz is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rationz is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXPGAROUNDSCORE-VIMO26R4-TKIM67
Nov 1
Yes52¢$519.05+$479.12
Santiago De la Fuente finishes top 5
Oct 29
No99¢$59.40+$0.60
Cameron Davis finishes top 5
Oct 29
No99¢$59.40+$0.60
See every position across 362 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    VidantaWorld Mexico Open: Andrew Novak wins
    $112.30 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 27
    +$5.2K
  2. 2
    Taylor Pendrith makes the cut
    $550.00 on No at 28¢, Oct 29
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Will there be over 48.5 points scored?
    $1.4K on No at 55¢, Sep 15
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Aaron Wise makes the cut80¢4100%+$610.00
Will there be over 48.5 points scored?55¢2100%+$1.1K
Will Philadelphia win the 1st Half?80¢2100%+$417.57
Aldrich Potgieter makes the cut78¢3100%+$443.88
Hank Lebioda makes the cut76¢2100%+$490.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$669.80
Sep 2026-$8.27
Oct 2026+$8.7K
Nov 2026+$479.12

Kalshi leaderboards

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