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Stats as of

bay.shade

+$1.2K
Tracked Trades
1,523
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In Parlays
15% won · 201 settled · +$4.5K

bay.shade is a Kalshi trader with 1,523 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 451 wins and 528 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Denver wins on Oct 27.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$32.1K
Typical trade
$4.75
Avg entry
12¢
Kalshi rank
#3,440

Profit over time

+$2.8K-$1.3K
Jul 18Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3667%11%+4 pts
20 to 40¢18230%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢38451%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢32369%62%-7 pts
Over 80¢26891%90%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $138141%+$12.29
$1 to $538144%+$3.0K
$5 to $1438148%+$1.4K
$14 to $1.5K38051%-$3.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays27715%+$4.5K
Soccer32843%-$1.5K
Baseball17257%-$172.22
NFL4755%-$297.38
NBA5075%-$725.19
Esports13642%-$382.14

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied bay.shade

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$107,549.85
Profit
on $76,800.00 staked
342-426
Record
45% win rate
+140%
Return
Profit over time768 settled trades
+$107.6K-$3.1K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
64% below peak
16.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.52×
Profit factor
$150.1K won vs $42.6K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 47¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
444 trades

By category

sports383 settled+259%
other314 settled+29%
crypto70 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Denver wins
Oct 27
Yes74¢$576.87-$576.87
Juventus wins
Oct 22
Yes69¢$1.1K-$1.1K
BIG wins
Oct 22, 5 fills
Sold Nosold 28¢$66.44Exited
See every position across 850 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,yes Charlotte wins by over 1.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 4.5 points,yes Los Angeles L wins by over 2.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 2.5 points,yes Washington wins by over 2.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 3.5 points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 3.5 points,yes Memphis wins by over 2.5 points
    $3.14 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 22
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Tigres,yes Atlas,yes Leon,yes Puebla
    $9.95 on Yes at 1¢, Aug 21
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    yes Houston wins by over 4.5 points,yes Los Angeles L wins by over 2.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 2.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 3.5 points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 3.5 points,yes Memphis wins by over 2.5 points
    $133.73 on Yes at 28¢, Oct 22
    +$351.84
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,yes Charlotte wins by over 1.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 4.5 points,yes Los Angeles L wins by over 2.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 2.5 points,yes Washington wins by over 2.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 3.5 points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 3.5 points,yes Memphis wins by over 2.5 points0¢4100%+$3.1K
Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Green Bay wins?59¢50%-$603.05
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026378EDADC306-3756E9966191+$0.00
yes Carolina,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles C,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Washington,yes New York G,yes IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points1¢20%-$9.12
Juventus wins69¢10%-$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$617.57
Aug 2026+$847.52
Sep 2026-$639.11
Oct 2026+$1.7K

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