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Stats as of
beard.sales
-$216.67
- Tracked Trades
- 129
- First Seen
- Mar 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 57% won · 42 settled · +$298.56
beard.sales is a Kalshi trader with 129 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 65 losses on settled markets, -$216.67 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 48%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $16.6K
- Typical trade
- $72.61
- Avg entry
- 56¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,042
Profit over time
+$920.00-$1.4K
Mar 16Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1512%23%+11 pts
20 to 40¢3230%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢4552%50%-2 pts
60 to 80¢2370%65%-4 pts
Over 80¢1488%85%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $353335%-$1.94
$36 to $733239%-$69.30
$73 to $1453252%-$92.79
$152 to $1.5K3265%-$52.64
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin4457%+$298.56
US elections2100%+$806.67
College football1550%+$179.82
Solana1264%-$66.54
NFL1217%-$692.04
Ethereum1436%-$732.76
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied beard.sales
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$333.94
Profit
on $3,800.00 staked
12-26
Record
32% win rate
-9%
Return
+$58.38-$333.94
Oct 5Nov 2
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
228% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $2.6K lost
-5.5 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 21 trades
By category
sports33 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
yes Philadelphia over 7.5 points,yes Philadelphia,yes Philadelphia over 17.5 points
Nov 2
Miami wins
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$806.67Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?$2.2K on Yes at 73¢, Nov 3
- 2+$482.76Texas wins by over 20.5 points$482.76 on No at 50¢, Oct 25
- 3+$327.54BTC price up in next 15 mins?$290.46 on Yes at 47¢, Mar 17
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?62¢3656%+$17.07
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?73¢2100%+$806.67
SOL price up in next 15 mins?64¢1264%-$66.54
ETH price up in next 15 mins?59¢1436%-$732.76
XRP price up in next 15 mins?66¢1331%-$581.85
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$538.14
Apr 2026-$733.89
May 2026+$7.31
Jun 2026+$69.08
Oct 2026+$657.41
Nov 2026+$321.56
Kalshi leaderboards
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