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Stats as of

kcnotbuns

+$672.05
Tracked Trades
460
First Seen
Jul 19, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In Parlays
37% won · 76 settled · +$2.9K

kcnotbuns is a Kalshi trader with 460 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 183 wins and 216 losses on settled markets, $672.05 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXLIGUE1TEAMTOTAL-26OCT30LILRCL-LIL1 on Oct 30.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$74.0K
Typical trade
$126.19
Avg entry
43¢
Kalshi rank
#4,014

Profit over time

+$672.00-$4.7K
Jul 19Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢504%18%+14 pts
20 to 40¢7132%40%+8 pts
40 to 60¢29750%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢3169%73%+4 pts
Over 80¢1191%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $8611542%+$695.60
$86 to $12611547%+$1.5K
$127 to $19411541%-$2.5K
$194 to $1.0K11553%+$924.13

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer20148%+$1.1K
Tennis7757%+$910.76
Parlays8537%+$2.9K
College football4541%-$2.1K
Baseball3641%-$1.4K
NFL1546%-$446.95

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied kcnotbuns

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,211.85
Profit
on $36,500.00 staked
172-193
Record
47% win rate
+6%
Return
Profit over time365 settled trades
+$2.2K-$1.5K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
240% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$21.5K won vs $19.3K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

sports360 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXLIGUE1TEAMTOTAL-26OCT30LILRCL-LIL1
Oct 30
Yes54¢$540.00+$460.00
KXEFLCHAMPIONSHIP1HTOTAL-26OCT30SHUWRE-1
Oct 30
Yes51¢$668.89+$642.66
Lorenzo Musetti wins
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 76¢$558.27Exited
See every position across 398 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Stade Rennais,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $92.07 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 15
    +$897.93
  2. 2
    yes Kentucky,yes Texas A&M wins by over 20.5 points
    $142.06 on Yes at 15¢, Oct 3
    +$786.44
  3. 3
    yes Liverpool,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
    $237.49 on Yes at 25¢, Oct 20
    +$724.01
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?50¢3330%-$1.6K
Over 1.5 1H goals scored55¢1458%+$134.76
Both Teams To Score49¢1860%+$961.51
Over 0.5 1H goals scored49¢1145%-$56.84
Barbora Krejcikova wins76¢2100%+$310.57

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$1.0K
Aug 2026-$1.2K
Sep 2026-$1.8K
Oct 2026+$4.7K

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