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Stats as of
bell.chance
+$659.36
- Tracked Trades
- 885
- First Seen
- Jan 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 2% won · 820 settled · +$829.05
bell.chance is a Kalshi trader with 885 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 803 losses on settled markets, $659.36 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Antonio,yes Utah on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 2%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $52.1K
- Typical trade
- $13.95
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,078
Profit over time
+$3.0K-$617.00
Jan 25Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8202%2%+0 pts
20 to 40¢829%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢449%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢869%
Over 80¢4596%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $92222%+$553.27
$9 to $142211%-$1.8K
$14 to $232213%+$43.99
$23 to $2.4K2215%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8822%+$829.05
Baseball10%-$143.91
MMA20%-$25.78
Side taken
Yes 93%7% No
If you had copied bell.chance
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,236.41
Profit
on $15,600.00 staked
5-151
Record
3% win rate
-8%
Return
+$2.1K-$3.5K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$6.1K
Max drawdown
263% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$13.9K won vs $15.1K lost
+0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
3% won at 3¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 39
- Deepest drawdown
- 78 trades
By category
sports156 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes San Antonio,yes Utah
Oct 24, 2 fills
yes Atlanta,yes Detroit,yes San Antonio,yes Minnesota,yes Utah,yes Boston
Oct 24
yes Tampa Bay,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles C,yes Utah,yes Portland
Oct 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9Kno Detroit wins by over 20.5 Points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 1.5 Points,yes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 Points,yes Milwaukee wins by over 5.5 Points,no Over 220.5 points scored,yes Alabama,yes Grand Canyon,yes North Dakota St.,yes Texas A&M,yes Queens University wins by over 1.5 Points,no Appalachian St. wins by over 3.5 Points$19.29 on Yes at 1¢, Mar 7
- 2+$1.8Kyes Tampa Bay,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes A's,yes Chicago WS,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored$9.15 on Yes at 1¢, May 19
- 3+$1.3Kyes Detroit,yes Pittsburgh,yes Houston,yes San Diego,yes New York Y,no Over 8.5 runs scored$27.52 on Yes at 2¢, Apr 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Miami,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Washington,yes Detroit,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored1¢20%-$12.04
yes Chicago WS wins first 5 innings,yes Tampa Bay,yes Washington,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Indiana wins by over 21.5 points1¢20%-$9.26
yes Georgia,yes Penn St.,no LSU wins by over 10.5 points,no Nevada wins by over 10.5 points,no Virginia wins by over 14.5 points,yes Carolina,yes Colorado,yes Buffalo1¢20%-$13.50
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202645D3VB2S2LG7AV4P-4YIZRQJVD1+$0.00
yes Pittsburgh,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y,yes Chicago C,yes Milwaukee,yes Houston,no Over 8.5 runs scored2¢20%-$46.74
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$192.39
Feb 2026-$341.98
Mar 2026+$2.4K
Apr 2026-$1.6K
May 2026+$543.37
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026+$1.0K
Aug 2026+$340.54
Sep 2026+$74.96
Oct 2026-$239.31
Kalshi leaderboards
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