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Stats as of

black.cast

-$4.4K
Tracked Trades
526
First Seen
Dec 23, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 25, 2026
Best In Soccer
31% won · 91 settled · +$1.4K

black.cast is a Kalshi trader with 526 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 48 wins and 385 losses on settled markets, -$4.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267VLRZYJQFMROO27T-IPALB6OKX on Oct 25.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
-27%
Money traded
$52.5K
Typical trade
$25.26
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#6,213

Profit over time

+$246.00-$5.4K
Dec 23Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3377%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢8230%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢3446%43%-2 pts
60 to 80¢671%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢6792%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $141325%-$323.13
$14 to $2513211%-$480.84
$25 to $6413113%-$2.3K
$66 to $2.0K13120%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays3995%-$5.9K
Soccer11831%+$1.4K
Bitcoin533%-$21.37
Baseball2100%+$23.21
NBA2100%+$50.32

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied black.cast

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$852.96
Profit
on $8,900.00 staked
7-82
Record
8% win rate
-10%
Return
Profit over time89 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.7K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$4.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$7.3K won vs $8.2K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 7¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
80 trades

By category

sports89 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267VLRZYJQFMROO27T-IPALB6OKX
Oct 25
Sold Nosold 94¢$683.48Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EMX26KS2ORUWKHRH-OYCASM4TX
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 84¢$605.03Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CKZZJDSPVEQVZOLY-XERGLS3G2
Oct 19
Sold Nosold 89¢$1.3KExited
See every position across 433 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
    $532.08 on Yes at 38¢, Jun 12
    +$868.13
  2. 2
    Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
    $505.36 on Yes at 41¢, Jun 11
    +$727.23
  3. 3
    yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $94.38 on Yes at 15¢, Jun 16
    +$530.65
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored21¢2323%-$1.1K
yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored11¢2021%+$226.83
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?41¢3646%+$2.0K
yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored7¢160%-$513.97
yes Korea Republic,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored6¢20%-$129.31

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 28Oct 25

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$57.45
Jan 2026-$8.51
Feb 2026-$86.27
Mar 2026-$617.28
Apr 2026-$774.21
May 2026-$932.80
Jun 2026-$1.0K
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026-$70.66
Sep 2026-$465.90
Oct 2026+$741.44

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