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Stats as of

black.sheep22

-$1.6K
Tracked Trades
425
First Seen
Apr 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Mentions
66% won ยท 137 settled ยท +$272

black.sheep22 is a Kalshi trader with 425 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 111 wins and 130 losses on settled markets, -$1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXETHD-26OCT2317-T2529.99 on Oct 21.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
-29%
Money traded
$34.4K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
10ยข
Kalshi rank
#5,529

Profit over time

+$742-$1.6K
Apr 7Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1006%0%-6 pts
20 to 40ยข2232%36%+4 pts
40 to 60ยข5749%71%+22 pts
60 to 80ยข9768%77%+8 pts
Over 80ยข14995%88%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $110732%-$5
$1 to $610649%-$37
$6 to $2310649%-$294
$23 to $5.9K10646%-$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies170%-$744
Ethereum1739%-$877
Mentions17966%+$272
Bitcoin8100%+$173
US politics2+$0
XRP50%-$27

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied black.sheep22

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1000
Profit
on $1000 staked
0-10
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$0-$1.0K
Aug 31Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

crypto9 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $23

The markets black.sheep22 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what black.sheep22 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXETHD-26OCT2317-T2529.99
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 74ยข$1.5KExited
Ethereum price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Oct 19, 3 fills
Yes17ยข$463-$463
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Nov 1, 2026?
Sep 21
Sold Nosold 99ยข$464Exited
See every position across 84 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Ethereum price at Apr 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
    $45 on Yes at 21ยข, Apr 10
    +$170
  2. 2
    Ethereum price at Apr 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
    $76 on Yes at 32ยข, Apr 12
    +$162
  3. 3
    Ethereum price at Apr 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
    $61 on Yes at 32ยข, Apr 13
    +$129
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?3ยข130%-$543
When will OpenAI IPO?3ยข40%-$200
Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?3ยข1050%-$47
KXETHD-26OCT2317-T2529.991+$0
Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?2ยข70%-$22

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$507
May 2026-$411
Jun 2026-$1.0K
Jul 2026-$56
Sep 2026-$119
Oct 2026-$463

Kalshi leaderboards

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