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Stats as of

boutthatbagMike

boutthatbagmike

+$273
Tracked Trades
988
First Seen
Sep 27, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Ethereum
45% won · 128 settled · +$169

boutthatbagMike is a Kalshi trader with 988 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 250 wins and 381 losses on settled markets, $273 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 23.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$7.6K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#4,295

Profit over time

+$312-$417
Oct 4Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22310%3%-7 pts
20 to 40¢27830%39%+9 pts
40 to 60¢33150%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢14666%53%-13 pts
Over 80¢1084%100%+16 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $124722%-$20
$1 to $524738%-$38
$5 to $924739%-$126
$10 to $66524755%+$456

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin27442%-$45
Parlays1644%+$356
Ethereum21746%+$197
Commodities9433%-$140
Solana19448%-$9
Other crypto16626%-$12

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied boutthatbagMike

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$8986
Profit
on $63100 staked
250-381
Record
40% win rate
-14%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time631 settled trades
+$0-$9.0K
Sep 28Oct 19
-$10.2K
Max drawdown
7479% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$29.1K won vs $38.1K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 41¢ avg
Longest losing streak
42
Deepest drawdown
570 trades

By category

sports16 settled+40%
crypto551 settled-15%
finance64 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23
Yes65¢$10-$10
NEAR price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 5¢$1Exited
XRP price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23, 3 fills
No8¢$9-$9
See every position across 257 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Detroit,yes Oklahoma City,yes Philadelphia
    $38 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 20
    +$339
  2. 2
    Buffalo wins
    $45 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 13
    +$109
  3. 3
    yes Los Angeles L,yes Portland,yes Los Angeles C
    $140 on Yes at 59¢, Oct 22
    +$96
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?19¢27442%-$45
ETH price up in next 15 mins?9¢21746%+$197
Gold price up in next 15 mins?39¢8734%-$129
SOL price up in next 15 mins?40¢19448%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A96FA25A512-48501610C491+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$273

Kalshi leaderboards

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