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Stats as of
bug.bus
+$5.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 418
- First Seen
- Aug 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 19% won · 69 settled · +$4.0K
bug.bus is a Kalshi trader with 418 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 147 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Kansas City wins on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 38%
- Return on settled
- +31%
- Money traded
- $73.4K
- Typical trade
- $47.03
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,415
Profit over time
+$6.3K+$0.00
Aug 28Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1029%19%+10 pts
20 to 40¢8831%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢10549%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢6570%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢5891%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1510525%+$551.25
$16 to $4710543%+$570.35
$47 to $12910448%+$5.5K
$130 to $16K10435%-$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays10819%+$4.0K
College football6358%+$2.4K
Baseball6436%-$2.1K
NFL4744%+$6.52
Weather8255%+$1.3K
NBA100%-$457.27
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied bug.bus
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$11,612.69
Profit
on $20,300.00 staked
71-132
Record
35% win rate
+57%
Return
+$12.0K+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 26
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
25% below peak
3.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.88×
Profit factor
$24.8K won vs $13.2K lost
+4.2 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 80 trades
By category
sports157 settled+70%
crypto18 settled+23%
culture26 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Kansas City wins
Oct 26
Kansas City wins
Oct 26
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OHBRPWOSIL2ZV35C-LSIIRRA2S
Oct 25
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.2Kyes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Kirk Cousins: 175+,yes Matthew Stafford: 200+,yes Josh Allen: 200+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 5+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 40+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 60+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 40+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes James Cook III: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 40+,yes Derrick Henry: 70+$84.17 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 4
- 2+$1.1KWill Michigan win the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game?$602.23 on Yes at 35¢, Sep 12
- 3+$979.36Will it rain in Oklahoma City on Oct 13, 2026?$160.12 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Green Bay,yes Matthew Stafford: 250+,yes Josh Allen: 200+,yes Kirk Cousins: 200+,yes Bryce Young: 200+,yes Dak Prescott: 225+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 225+,yes Drake Maye: 225+,yes Aaron Rodgers: 225+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+,no James Cook III: 100+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 30+,yes Bijan Robinson: 60+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 50+,yes Jaylen Warren: 40+,yes Bucky Irving: 50+0¢20%-$50.15
yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Kirk Cousins: 175+,yes Matthew Stafford: 200+,yes Josh Allen: 200+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 5+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 40+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 60+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 40+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes James Cook III: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 40+,yes Derrick Henry: 70+3¢2100%+$3.2K
yes Trent Grisham: 1+,yes Yandy Díaz: 2+,yes Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs4¢20%-$93.67
yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Alabama St. wins by over 14.5 points,yes CeeDee Lamb: 5+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 60+,yes Bucky Irving: 60+,yes DAL Cowboys wins by over 9.5 points4¢20%-$94.88
Green Bay wins by over 5.5 points?21¢30%-$632.33
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$917.76
Sep 2026+$688.71
Oct 2026+$3.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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