rivomarkets

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Stats as of

bullishkirby

+$27.5K
Tracked Trades
3,020
First Seen
Jul 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
68% won · 40 settled · +$18.7K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active finance traders who bet one side: BoltMonkey, SalSicksPicks, yourmom88

bullishkirby is a Kalshi trader with 3,020 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 45 wins and 62 losses on settled markets, $27.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? on Oct 9.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+26%
Money traded
$458.6K
Typical trade
$5.00
Avg entry
52¢
Kalshi rank
#209

Profit over time

+$27.8K-$12.8K
Jul 29Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢96910%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢73632%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢19656%38%-18 pts
60 to 80¢14174%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢97898%100%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $27555%-$8.11
$2 to $575525%-$17.62
$5 to $3975529%-$163.09
$39 to $27K75564%+$27.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates42968%+$18.7K
US elections110618%+$4.8K
Esports29333%+$3.7K
Bitcoin1185100%+$223.91
Companies7+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied bullishkirby

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$456.95
Profit
on $1,900.00 staked
9-10
Record
47% win rate
-24%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time19 settled trades
+$78.22-$456.95
Aug 10Oct 5

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 19 so far.

By category

other15 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $465.00

The markets bullishkirby is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bullishkirby is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Oct 9, 212 fills
Yes36¢sold 37¢$13.64-$13.64
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
Oct 7, 486 fills
Yes10¢sold 11¢$495.62-$495.62
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027?
Oct 7, 150 fills
Yes11¢sold 10¢$104.44-$104.44
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?
    $27.3K on Yes at 56¢, Sep 9
    +$21.4K
  2. 2
    Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
    $34.3K on Yes at 73¢, Jul 29
    +$12.5K
  3. 3
    Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
    $6.6K on No at 64¢, Oct 5
    +$3.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?49¢14570%-$3.1K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?61¢22040%+$285.00
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?65¢21133%+$896.36
Will Team Liquid win the Team Liquid vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match?62¢147100%+$1.7K
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?66¢47450%+$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$2.8K
Aug 2026+$3.9K
Sep 2026+$23.1K
Oct 2026+$3.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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