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Stats as of

careful.swordfish0378

+$367.47
Tracked Trades
519
First Seen
Sep 11, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Soccer
55% won · 139 settled · +$1.8K

careful.swordfish0378 is a Kalshi trader with 519 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 170 wins and 146 losses on settled markets, $367.47 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Roma,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool on Nov 3.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$37.6K
Typical trade
$38.68
Avg entry
9¢
Kalshi rank
#4,482

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$580.00
Sep 11Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢888%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢8031%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢13752%53%+0 pts
60 to 80¢13668%65%-3 pts
Over 80¢7889%84%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1313048%-$134.44
$13 to $3913046%-$379.02
$39 to $9313052%-$134.89
$94 to $3.3K12966%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer19955%+$1.7K
Bitcoin30454%-$1.1K
Parlays80%-$236.46
Ethereum450%+$13.64
Other crypto20%-$29.02
Solana2100%+$2.03

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied careful.swordfish0378

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,454.00
Profit
on $28,200.00 staked
147-135
Record
52% win rate
-12%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time282 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.7K
Sep 7Nov 2
-$4.3K
Max drawdown
1441% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.74×
Profit factor
$10.0K won vs $13.5K lost
-3.1 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
246 trades

By category

sports138 settled-2%
crypto144 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $167.48

The markets careful.swordfish0378 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what careful.swordfish0378 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Roma,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool
Nov 3
Yes4¢$133.74-$133.74
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3
No99¢$137.72+$1.81
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3
Yes62¢$86.34+$52.92
See every position across 260 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Portugal wins
    $559.63 on Yes at 48¢, Sep 30
    +$606.27
  2. 2
    Spain wins
    $94.51 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 26
    +$479.09
  3. 3
    Real Madrid wins
    $483.41 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 14
    +$464.45
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?4¢30454%-$1.1K
yes Miami,yes Liverpool,yes Aston Villa,yes Como,yes Manchester City,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid1¢2+$0.00
Tie is the result42¢1413%-$438.22
Real Madrid wins58¢5100%+$515.12
Honduras wins52¢433%-$645.84

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$508.91
Oct 2026-$305.53
Nov 2026+$164.09

Kalshi leaderboards

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