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Stats as of

CarlitoWay

carlitoway

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
1,088
First Seen
Jun 29, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 7, 2026
Best In NBA
71% won · 14 settled · +$2.2K

CarlitoWay is a Kalshi trader with 1,088 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 194 wins and 420 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Alabama + Oregon on Nov 7.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$103.4K
Typical trade
$74.87
Avg entry
23¢
Kalshi rank
#2,976

Profit over time

+$2.1K-$3.9K
Jun 29Nov 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢39611%13%+2 pts
20 to 40¢39030%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢23149%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢2970%54%-16 pts
Over 80¢4293%0%-93 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3927222%+$191.88
$39 to $7527231%+$915.23
$75 to $9827236%-$684.01
$98 to $1.9K27235%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays75527%+$2.0K
Baseball16536%-$1.4K
NFL8741%-$1.6K
NBA2671%+$2.2K
Soccer3422%-$397.00
College football1183%+$497.98

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied CarlitoWay

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$504.02
Profit
on $30,200.00 staked
92-210
Record
30% win rate
-2%
Return
Profit over time302 settled trades
+$726.47-$2.6K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
300% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$20.5K won vs $21.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
124 trades

By category

sports103 settled+18%
other199 settled-12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Alabama + Oregon
Nov 7
Yes41¢$576.33+$815.77
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LKTBMH6NOGFF3YKC-MEJODZPAM
Nov 1
Sold Yessold 5¢$37.93Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026PRFJXDIJ44PWUZG6-C3B4EQUA4
Oct 25
Sold Yessold 7¢$68.72Exited
See every position across 552 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Arizona,yes Carolina wins by over 10.5 points
    $235.22 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 18
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    yes Minnesota,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee
    $283.02 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 9
    +$1.7K
  3. 3
    Philadelphia wins
    $1.2K on Yes at 41¢, Oct 21
    +$1.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Philadelphia wins42¢1257%+$1.1K
yes Minnesota,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee15¢2100%+$1.7K
Washington wins17¢1020%-$688.84
yes Atlanta,yes Charlotte41¢2100%+$699.45
Boston wins51¢667%-$159.18

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 10Nov 7

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$195.57
Jul 2026+$643.36
Aug 2026-$1.1K
Sep 2026-$3.5K
Oct 2026+$4.3K
Nov 2026+$815.77

Kalshi leaderboards

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