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Stats as of
light.pair
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 878
- First Seen
- Aug 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 6, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 29% won · 598 settled · +$797.12
light.pair is a Kalshi trader with 878 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 207 wins and 448 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DVHAYS6GXN2SIQ6H-JBK2FQLP5 on Nov 6.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $61.5K
- Typical trade
- $28.84
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,749
Profit over time
+$1.4K-$5.2K
Aug 13Nov 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3507%7%+0 pts
20 to 40¢18929%30%+1 pts
40 to 60¢17749%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢8168%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢8193%88%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1122017%-$456.94
$12 to $2922023%-$1.5K
$29 to $6721938%-$314.34
$68 to $4.0K21950%+$3.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays78829%+$797.12
Tennis4450%+$688.19
College basketball1100%+$106.24
College football967%-$108.32
Soccer967%-$62.22
NFL4100%+$62.18
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied light.pair
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$12,549.49
Profit
on $64,000.00 staked
198-442
Record
31% win rate
-20%
Return
+$0.00-$12.9K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$13.9K
Max drawdown
21675% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.72×
Profit factor
$31.7K won vs $44.2K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 85
- Deepest drawdown
- 627 trades
By category
sports633 settled-20%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DVHAYS6GXN2SIQ6H-JBK2FQLP5
Nov 6
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MUICL2EDK6HXMOQB-6734SOXZR
Nov 6
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JKTTJC5MF5VM5O25-ZFERHBIOO
Nov 6, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MUICL2EDK6HXMOQB-6734SOXZR$1.9K on Yes at 48¢, Nov 6
- 2+$1.0KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JKTTJC5MF5VM5O25-ZFERHBIOO$2.3K on Yes at 69¢, Nov 6
- 3+$712.66yes New York,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes LeBron James: 10+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+,yes Cooper Flagg: 4+,yes Toledo,yes Santa Clara,yes Saint Mary's,yes California,no Slavia Prague,no Real Betis wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Leipzig wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$189.44 on Yes at 21¢, Nov 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JKTTJC5MF5VM5O25-ZFERHBIOO69¢2100%+$1.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DVHAYS6GXN2SIQ6H-JBK2FQLP587¢1100%+$602.29
Maria Sakkari wins80¢1100%+$493.10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MUICL2EDK6HXMOQB-6734SOXZR48¢1100%+$2.1K
KXNCAAMBTOTAL-26NOV05CPARIZ-19494¢1100%+$106.24
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 9Nov 6
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$130.53
Sep 2026-$2.4K
Oct 2026-$2.3K
Nov 2026+$6.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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