rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

cave

+$473
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Best In Tennis
71% won · 41 settled · +$424

cave is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 254 wins and 159 losses on settled markets, $473 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Las Vegas wins by over 9.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 27.5 points,yes Seattle wins by over 14.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
62%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$44.1K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
13¢
Kalshi rank
#4,052

Profit over time

+$1.5K-$36
Jul 21Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3107%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢12930%19%-11 pts
40 to 60¢20751%57%+7 pts
60 to 80¢21768%81%+13 pts
Over 80¢13790%99%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525065%-$26
$5 to $1925055%-$149
$19 to $4525057%-$380
$45 to $1.3K25072%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays39619%-$242
Bitcoin40171%-$177
Baseball9568%+$325
Tennis6371%+$424
WNBA36+$0
Soccer3100%+$96

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied cave

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2018
Profit
on $41300 staked
254-159
Record
62% win rate
-5%
Return
300 still open
Profit over time413 settled trades
+$2.0K-$2.0K
Jul 20Sep 14
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
175% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$13.9K won vs $15.9K lost
+5.8 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
269 trades

By category

other413 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

248 open positions worth $14.3K

The markets cave is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what cave is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Las Vegas wins by over 9.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 27.5 points,yes Seattle wins by over 14.5 points
Sep 20
Yes31¢$86-$86
Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 20, 2 fills
No1¢$19-$19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20262521DC20890-4CDAFCD7724
Sep 20
Sold Nosold 89¢$1.3KExited
See every position across 461 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Kia Tigers,yes Fukuoka Hawks,yes Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    $121 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 17
    +$393
  2. 2
    yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs,yes San Diego wins by over 3.5 runs,yes New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored
    $290 on Yes at 52¢, Sep 19
    +$272
  3. 3
    no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs,no Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 5.5 runs scored
    $144 on Yes at 40¢, Sep 19
    +$218
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?67¢39871%-$206
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20262521DC20890-4CDAFCD77241+$0
no A's wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,no Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs,no Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Dallas wins by over 12.5 points7¢2+$0
yes Los Angeles A -2.5 first 5 innings,yes Buffalo wins by over 13.5 points47¢2+$0
no Washington wins by over 1.5 runs,no St. Louis wins by over 1.5 runs,no New York M wins by over 1.5 runs,no Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs,no Texas wins by over 1.5 runs,no Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,no Los Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs7¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$118
Aug 2026+$297
Sep 2026+$58

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