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Stats as of
chacon420
+$5.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 347
- First Seen
- Nov 28, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 9, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 57% won · 63 settled · +$5.3K
chacon420 is a Kalshi trader with 347 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 134 wins and 183 losses on settled markets, $5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Tampa Bay wins on Oct 9.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $98.9K
- Typical trade
- $168
- Avg entry
- 35¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,287
Profit over time
+$9.4K-$131
Nov 28Oct 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6110%5%-5 pts
20 to 40¢12531%34%+3 pts
40 to 60¢9149%55%+6 pts
60 to 80¢4267%79%+12 pts
Over 80¢2893%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $438733%-$209
$43 to $1688737%-$761
$169 to $3408742%+$2.3K
$341 to $2.8K8658%+$4.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays19631%+$243
NBA7157%+$5.3K
Baseball2844%-$2.9K
Soccer2190%+$1.4K
NFL1540%+$430
College football550%+$794
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied chacon420
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$671
Profit
on $3500 staked
15-20
Record
43% win rate
-19%
Return
+$225-$671
Jul 27Oct 5
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
349% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $2.0K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
sports33 settled-30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Tampa Bay wins
Oct 9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C28E8EADA0E-3A7CCBFE95A
Oct 9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C28E8EADA0E-3A7CCBFE95A
Oct 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.7KPhoenix at Los Angeles L Winner?$2.3K on Yes at 46¢, Apr 11
- 2+$1.4Kyes Brock Purdy: 200+,yes Tyler Warren: 20+,yes George Kittle: 50+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+$620 on Yes at 31¢, Dec 22
- 3+$1.3Kyes Tyler Shough: 200+,yes De'Von Achane: 3+,yes Nico Collins: 50+,yes Jalen Coker: 30+$331 on Yes at 20¢, Dec 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Game 4: Denver at Minnesota Winner?53¢20%-$1.4K
yes LaMelo Ball: 3+,yes Charlotte,yes Kon Knueppel: 15+44¢10%-$2.8K
Los Angeles L at Golden State Winner?55¢7100%+$2.2K
Atletico vs Barcelona Winner?76¢9100%+$729
Phoenix at Los Angeles L Winner?46¢1100%+$2.7K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 12Oct 9
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$5
Dec 2025+$2.0K
Jan 2026-$1.3K
Feb 2026+$1.9K
Mar 2026-$1.0K
Apr 2026+$2.0K
May 2026+$2.0K
Jun 2026+$211
Jul 2026-$625
Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026-$1.3K
Oct 2026+$571
Kalshi leaderboards
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