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Stats as of
satisfied.sawfish5040
+$5.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 117
- First Seen
- Jul 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 17% won · 70 settled · +$3.4K
satisfied.sawfish5040 is a Kalshi trader with 117 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 34 wins and 64 losses on settled markets, $5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267CD4BC8AEB5-7B923C4F55D on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- +18%
- Money traded
- $64.1K
- Typical trade
- $191
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,290
Profit over time
+$21.7K-$153
Jul 17Oct 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢489%15%+6 pts
20 to 40¢1829%6%-23 pts
40 to 60¢1845%50%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1974%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢1492%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $703041%+$816
$72 to $1912928%+$6.8K
$191 to $4852935%+$7.2K
$512 to $6.0K2936%-$9.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8917%+$3.4K
Baseball2576%+$1.9K
NFL2100%+$72
College football1100%+$74
Side taken
Yes 68%32% No
If you had copied satisfied.sawfish5040
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5742
Profit
on $9700 staked
34-63
Record
35% win rate
+59%
Return
+$6.9K-$38
Jul 20Sep 28
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
49% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.91×
Profit factor
$12.0K won vs $6.3K lost
+4.2 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 52 trades
By category
sports7 settled+180%
other90 settled+50%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267CD4BC8AEB5-7B923C4F55D
Oct 4
yes Ohio St.,yes Cleveland,yes Green Bay,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Baltimore,yes Payton Talbott,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Anthony Wint
Oct 2
no Over 0.5 runs,yes Ohio St.,yes Cleveland,yes Green Bay,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Baltimore,yes Payton Talbott,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Anthony Wint
Oct 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.4Kyes Tampa Bay,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes$459 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 12
- 2+$7.6Kno Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes$187 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 11
- 3+$2.8Kno Yes,no Yes,no Yes$472 on Yes at 14¢, Aug 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
no Yes,no Yes,no Yes15¢817%+$328
no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes,no Yes2¢350%+$7.1K
no Yes,yes Mansur Abdul-Malik,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Mackenzie Dern,yes Islam Makhachev,yes Myktybek Orolbay Uulu19¢10%-$4.6K
no Yes,no Yes30¢525%-$2.6K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202621163EBEE31-7994D1E7FF71+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$62
Aug 2026+$8.3K
Sep 2026-$3.9K
Oct 2026+$1.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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