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Stats as of
child.cake
+$12.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 148
- First Seen
- Feb 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 51% won · 77 settled · +$10.4K
child.cake is a Kalshi trader with 148 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 63 losses on settled markets, $12.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alex Volkanovski wins on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- +42%
- Money traded
- $32.5K
- Typical trade
- $51.72
- Avg entry
- 43¢
- Kalshi rank
- #593
Profit over time
+$12.4K-$1.6K
Feb 8Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3412%30%+19 pts
20 to 40¢5431%44%+13 pts
40 to 60¢4249%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1564%67%+3 pts
Over 80¢387%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $233742%+$213.57
$23 to $513732%+$532.19
$52 to $1043758%+$1.0K
$108 to $4.8K3754%+$10.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
MMA9451%+$10.4K
Parlays1928%+$2.8K
Tennis1663%+$91.08
Entertainment50%-$1.1K
Soccer820%-$273.93
Baseball4100%+$399.82
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied child.cake
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,987.97
Profit
on $3,000.00 staked
21-9
Record
70% win rate
+100%
Return
+$3.0K+$0.00
Aug 31Oct 19
-$700.00
Max drawdown
49% below peak
4.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.32×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $900.00 lost
+30.5 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 40¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 7 trades
By category
sports28 settled+99%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alex Volkanovski wins
Oct 24
Petr Yan wins
Oct 24
Loneer Kavanagh wins
Oct 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.7KAlex Volkanovski wins$4.8K on Yes at 46¢, Oct 24
- 2+$3.2KAbubakar Vagaev wins$4.8K on Yes at 60¢, Oct 24
- 3+$2.9KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RLZ7IOA7VT6OTDAZ-DAWPSWDE4$897.13 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXUFCFIGHT-26OCT24VOLKUN-KUN46¢10%-$4.8K
Alex Volkanovski wins46¢1100%+$5.7K
Abubakar Vagaev wins60¢1100%+$3.2K
Petr Yan wins59¢1100%+$2.6K
Loneer Kavanagh wins51¢1100%+$1.9K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$536.87
Mar 2026-$307.54
Apr 2026-$23.46
May 2026+$59.25
Jun 2026-$635.29
Jul 2026+$433.32
Aug 2026+$120.23
Sep 2026+$1.1K
Oct 2026+$12.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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