Stats as of
chilly.kestrel1859
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 706
- First Seen
- Jun 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 66 settled · +$1.7K
chilly.kestrel1859 is a Kalshi trader with 706 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 127 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264173248E3FD-3BE70FA0073 on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 21%
- Return on settled
- +84%
- Money traded
- $44.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,648
Profit over time
+$1.6K-$589
Jun 21Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4297%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢8028%24%-3 pts
40 to 60¢3748%67%+18 pts
60 to 80¢2472%33%-38 pts
Over 80¢13694%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $917719%-$180
$9 to $91774%+$1.9K
$9 to $2417624%-$131
$24 to $2.1K17650%-$59
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5685%+$1.5K
Soccer10123%-$50
Tennis2771%+$82
NFL960%+$6
College football10%-$19
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied chilly.kestrel1859
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$18755
Profit
on $11000 staked
22-88
Record
20% win rate
+170%
Return
323 still open
+$18.8K-$1.9K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$4.1K
Max drawdown
3214% below peak
4.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.13×
Profit factor
$27.6K won vs $8.8K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 20¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 31
- Deepest drawdown
- 45 trades
By category
sports110 settled+170%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
320 open positions worth $3.3K
The markets chilly.kestrel1859 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264173248E3FD-3BE70FA0073
Oct 11
yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Nice,yes Bologna
Oct 11
yes Tie 1st Half,yes Crystal Palace,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Bologna
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.2Kyes Freiburg,yes Southampton,yes Manchester City,yes Real Betis,yes Real Sociedad,yes Tie,yes Marseille,yes Tie 1st Half,yes Lazio$9 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 11
- 2+$91Andres Andrade wins$96 on Yes at 51¢, Sep 24
- 3+$87yes Tie,yes Tie$9 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie3¢470%-$59
yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie1¢150%-$28
yes Tie,yes Cape Verde,yes Nigeria,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie0¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264173248E3FD-3BE70FA00731+$0
yes Tie,yes England,yes Spain,yes Switzerland,yes Tie,yes Tie1¢3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$85
Jul 2026-$240
Aug 2026-$34
Sep 2026+$1
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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