rivomarkets

heforgotpoland

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
1,998
First Seen
Jul 9, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
61
Best In US elections
31% won · 174 settled · +$1.9K

heforgotpoland is a Kalshi trader with 1,998 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 175 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections? on Sep 29.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$121.1K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
28/100
Kalshi rank
#1,989

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$679
Jul 9Aug 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9509%18%+9 pts
20 to 40¢39127%10%-17 pts
40 to 60¢12249%73%+24 pts
60 to 80¢17071%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢36590%95%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $250024%+$9
$2 to $950023%+$82
$9 to $2949927%+$122
$29 to $6.8K49967%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections170131%+$1.9K
US politics23734%-$134
Soccer2752%-$40
Entertainment9+$0
Commodities12+$0
World politics11+$0

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied heforgotpoland

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$13311
Profit
on $26400 staked
89-175
Record
34% win rate
+50%
Return
1259 still open
Profit over time264 settled trades
+$13.3K-$5.6K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$7.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.76×
Profit factor
$30.8K won vs $17.5K lost
+8.2 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
141 trades

By category

other264 settled+50%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

336 open positions worth $33.6K

The markets heforgotpoland is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what heforgotpoland is holding

Recent positions

Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 2¢
BUYYES$20Open
Will Republican win the House race for OH-10?
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 16¢
BUYNO$11Open
Will Democrats win more than 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Ohio?
Sep 29, avg 5¢
BUYYES$10Open
See every position across 417 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Casey Askar be the Republican nominee for FL-22?
    $203 on Yes, Aug 15
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    $135 on Yes, Aug 18
    +$965
  3. 3
    Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    $61 on No, Aug 18
    +$450
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?24+$0
Who will win the next presidential election?13+$0
RSENATESEATS-27-E451+$0
Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?12+$0
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?7+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$563
Aug 2026+$2.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies heforgotpoland.

Bring heforgotpoland into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.