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Stats as of

confident.clownfish3200

+$7.8K
Tracked Trades
201
First Seen
Aug 30, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Parlays
10% won · 155 settled · +$8.5K

confident.clownfish3200 is a Kalshi trader with 201 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 158 losses on settled markets, $7.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026HAWWX6C2IQ7SVP2O-JDCXA4URG on Oct 21.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
+67%
Money traded
$29.6K
Typical trade
$36.85
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#1,008

Profit over time

+$9.4K-$715.00
Aug 30Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1454%4%+0 pts
20 to 40¢2427%29%+3 pts
40 to 60¢1349%33%-15 pts
60 to 80¢665%75%+10 pts
Over 80¢1392%0%-92 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $14519%-$301.38
$15 to $37504%-$974.57
$37 to $935015%+$6.9K
$93 to $6.7K5019%+$2.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays17710%+$8.5K
Baseball129%-$417.20
Bitcoin729%-$127.52
College football20%-$157.03
NFL333%-$47.36

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied confident.clownfish3200

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$8,489.89
Profit
on $17,100.00 staked
20-151
Record
12% win rate
+50%
Return
Profit over time171 settled trades
+$8.6K-$5.4K
Aug 24Oct 19
-$9.4K
Max drawdown
249% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.56×
Profit factor
$23.6K won vs $15.1K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
34
Deepest drawdown
118 trades

By category

sports84 settled+98%
other87 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026HAWWX6C2IQ7SVP2O-JDCXA4URG
Oct 21
Yes27¢$707.11-$707.11
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GP5VNURKPVMCWMVF-KDW66SQ4E
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 81¢$6.7KExited
yes C.J. Stroud: 4+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 4+,yes Woody Marks: 45+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 80+
Oct 18
Yes1¢$91.83-$91.83
See every position across 171 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Matthew Stafford: 2+,yes Puka Nacua: 9+,yes Davante Adams: 40+,yes James Cook III: 90+,yes Ty Johnson: 45+,yes Blake Corum: 65+,yes Kyren Williams: 75+,yes James Cook III: 2+,yes Davante Adams: 2+
    $57.69 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 13
    +$8.6K
  2. 2
    yes Eugenio Suárez: 1+,yes Sal Stewart: 1+,yes Christian Yelich: 1+,yes Garrett Mitchell: 1+,yes Bobby Witt Jr.: 2+,yes Ivan Herrera: 1+,yes Jordan Walker: 1+,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored
    $325.22 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 6
    +$3.6K
  3. 3
    yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Brady House: 1+,yes Daylen Lile: 1+,yes Lawrence Butler: 1+,yes Zack Gelof: 1+,yes Dominic Canzone: 1+,yes Randy Arozarena: 1+,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored
    $105.15 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 6
    +$2.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GP5VNURKPVMCWMVF-KDW66SQ4E1+$0.00
yes Bryce Harper: 4+,yes Yordan Alvarez: 4+,yes Ben Rice: 4+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4+0¢20%-$9.23
no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored1¢20%-$18.37
yes Colston Loveland: 4+,yes D'Andre Swift: 4+,yes Dontayvion Wicks: 3+,yes DeVonta Smith: 90+,yes Zach Ertz: 15+,yes Kyle Monangai: 15+1¢20%-$9.57
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20261CB20ADCD1E-617285265971+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$549.16
Sep 2026+$3.3K
Oct 2026+$5.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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