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Stats as of

confidential.alpaca6455

-$38.8K
Tracked Trades
671
First Seen
May 10, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

confidential.alpaca6455 is a Kalshi trader with 671 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 47 wins and 91 losses on settled markets, -$38.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin on Nov 3.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
-33%
Money traded
$306.6K
Typical trade
$17.64
Avg entry
47¢
Kalshi rank
#4,236

Profit over time

+$8.6K-$38.8K
May 10Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢455%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢21031%9%-22 pts
40 to 60¢31447%4%-42 pts
60 to 80¢5869%84%+15 pts
Over 80¢4492%89%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $51687%-$45.75
$5 to $1816819%-$156.85
$18 to $8216841%-$358.61
$83 to $33K16748%-$38.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections65631%-$44.7K
NBA9100%+$5.8K
Tennis350%+$41.58
US politics333%+$4.09

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied confidential.alpaca6455

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

4 of 5 needed have resolved. 7 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $19.71

The markets confidential.alpaca6455 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what confidential.alpaca6455 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin
Nov 3, 6 fills
No23¢sold 14¢$966.01-$966.01
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes26¢$2.6K-$2.6K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Aug 27, 3 fills
No16¢$32.99-$32.99
See every position across 35 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $22.5K on Yes at 80¢, Jun 9
    +$5.8K
  2. 2
    Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
    $3.0K on Yes at 39¢, Jun 8
    +$4.6K
  3. 3
    Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    $10.6K on Yes at 70¢, Jun 9
    +$4.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?23¢22637%+$3.9K
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?59¢410%-$19.9K
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?80¢9100%+$5.8K
Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?70¢6100%+$4.6K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?59¢2580%-$10.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

May 2026+$1.5K
Jun 2026-$23.0K
Jul 2026-$13.5K
Aug 2026-$1.3K
Nov 2026-$2.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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