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Stats as of

deeperthanyouthink

-$1.1K
Tracked Trades
725
First Seen
Apr 28, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Golf
5% won · 265 settled · +$217.67

deeperthanyouthink is a Kalshi trader with 725 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 92 wins and 419 losses on settled markets, -$1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress? on Nov 4.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
-23%
Money traded
$64.7K
Typical trade
$4.77
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#6,166

Profit over time

+$246.00-$1.5K
Apr 28Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4064%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢9429%26%-3 pts
40 to 60¢4450%33%-17 pts
60 to 80¢3571%68%-2 pts
Over 80¢14693%95%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $518210%-$198.61
$5 to $51816%-$259.96
$5 to $1718133%+$341.57
$17 to $10K18142%-$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections7155%-$81.69
Golf3235%+$217.67
US politics210%-$976.75
Parlays924%-$395.30
World politics13100%+$379.52
Entertainment10967%-$273.78

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied deeperthanyouthink

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$4,153.54
Profit
on $6,500.00 staked
9-56
Record
14% win rate
-64%
Return
17 still open
Profit over time65 settled trades
+$0.00-$4.2K
Aug 24Nov 2
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.26×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $5.6K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
28
Deepest drawdown
64 trades

By category

politics9 settled+92%
sports55 settled-89%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

16 open positions worth $3.6K

The markets deeperthanyouthink is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what deeperthanyouthink is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
Nov 4, 17 fills
Sold Nosold 93¢$4.6KExited
Will the Republican Party win 193-197 seats in the 120th Congress?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 87¢$1.7KExited
Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress?
Nov 3, 14 fills
Sold Nosold 57¢$911.10Exited
See every position across 374 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Aaron Rai win the PGA Championship?
    $27.60 on Yes at 2¢, May 17
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $185.22 on Yes at 33¢, Oct 25
    +$376.85
  3. 3
    Will Russell Henley win the Charles Schwab Challenge?
    $44.91 on Yes at 13¢, May 31
    +$313.22
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 0% and 3%?1+$0.00
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?16¢170%-$942.03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?34¢7+$0.00
Will Nick Taylor win the PGA Championship?1¢60%-$18.73
Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?8¢8+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$91.34
May 2026-$167.75
Jul 2026-$655.78
Aug 2026-$464.17
Sep 2026-$55.66
Oct 2026+$305.30

Kalshi leaderboards

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