Get an alert the moment toll.win trades.
Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.
Stats as of
toll.win
-$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 630
- First Seen
- Jan 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 60% won · 15 settled · +$419.45
toll.win is a Kalshi trader with 630 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 129 wins and 329 losses on settled markets, -$1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GWGJBP7YX3SCFF6F-SZ5S25UI3 on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 28%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $33.4K
- Typical trade
- $18.97
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,886
Profit over time
+$215.00-$1.9K
Jan 21Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2467%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢10030%24%-6 pts
40 to 60¢11551%54%+3 pts
60 to 80¢6869%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢10193%71%-21 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $515816%-$76.25
$5 to $1915819%-$510.21
$19 to $4815729%+$418.09
$48 to $1.3K15754%-$970.54
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis19144%-$650.15
Parlays1198%-$499.31
Baseball11545%-$511.07
NBA3755%+$189.78
MMA1860%+$419.45
Golf383%-$406.93
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied toll.win
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$294.25
Profit
on $13,200.00 staked
40-92
Record
30% win rate
+2%
Return
+$571.66-$1.6K
Sep 7Oct 26
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
105% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $9.2K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 28¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 22
- Deepest drawdown
- 66 trades
By category
sports132 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GWGJBP7YX3SCFF6F-SZ5S25UI3
Oct 31
Valerio Aboian wins
Oct 30
Valerio Aboian wins
Oct 30, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0Kyes Puka Nacua: 80+,yes Tyler Higbee: 25+,yes James Cook III: 100+,yes Davante Adams: 1+$46.84 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 12
- 2+$854.11yes Javonte Williams: 15+,yes Bucky Irving: 50+,yes George Pickens: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+$46.85 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 8
- 3+$742.73Valerio Aboian wins$537.79 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Jerome Kym win set 2 in the Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka match44¢20%-$585.10
Valerio Aboian wins42¢3100%+$742.73
Will Carlos Alcaraz win set 2 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match66¢2100%+$291.84
Lautaro Midon wins57¢50%-$665.53
Cleveland wins55¢9100%+$241.64
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$55.88
Feb 2026-$227.08
Mar 2026-$37.25
Apr 2026-$250.41
May 2026-$88.15
Jun 2026-$500.07
Jul 2026-$36.82
Sep 2026-$468.05
Oct 2026+$524.80
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies toll.win.
Bring toll.win into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.