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Stats as of
dsm16geezus
-$123.62
- Tracked Trades
- 433
- First Seen
- Oct 21, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 30% won · 37 settled · +$8.2K
dsm16geezus is a Kalshi trader with 433 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 49 wins and 325 losses on settled markets, -$123.62 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 13%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $61.8K
- Typical trade
- $81.42
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,717
Profit over time
+$4.0K-$6.3K
Oct 21Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2598%3%-4 pts
20 to 40¢13127%30%+3 pts
40 to 60¢1447%9%-38 pts
60 to 80¢1170%33%-37 pts
Over 80¢1890%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $461097%-$2.1K
$46 to $811087%+$1.9K
$83 to $13310816%-$3.9K
$134 to $4.0K10824%+$3.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA4330%+$8.2K
Soccer8910%-$6.4K
MMA349%+$750.88
Parlays963%+$1.7K
College basketball5912%-$2.0K
College football3324%-$211.23
Side taken
Yes 99%1% No
If you had copied dsm16geezus
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$4,619.79
Profit
on $9,400.00 staked
7-87
Record
7% win rate
+49%
Return
+$8.7K-$1.6K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
52% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.53×
Profit factor
$13.3K won vs $8.7K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 8¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 40
- Deepest drawdown
- 67 trades
By category
sports93 settled+51%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Nov 1
Florida Atlantic wins
Oct 30, 2 fills
yes Ty Jerome: 1+,yes Deni Avdija: 1+,yes Damian Lillard: 2+,yes Cameron Boozer: 4+,yes Ty Jerome: 4+,yes Deni Avdija: 4+,yes Trey Murphy III: 2+,yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 4+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 4+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 10+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Cameron Boozer: 10+,yes Jaylen Wells: 10+,yes Ty Jerome: 20+,yes Deni Avdija: 15+,yes Damian Lillard: 15+,yes Jrue Holiday: 10+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+,yes Zion Williamson: 15+,yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 15+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 15+,yes Zach LaVine: 15+,yes Cameron Boozer: 4+,yes Cedric Coward: 6+,yes Donovan Clingan: 6+,yes Damian Lillard: 2+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 10+
Oct 29
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.4KPhiladelphia wins$469.75 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 23
- 2+$5.0Kyes Marc Andre Barriault by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Katlyn Cerminara by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO/DQ$46.47 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 17
- 3+$3.2KWill Ciryl Gane win the Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane fight by KO/TKO/DQ?$948.86 on Yes at 23¢, Jun 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?34¢4100%+$2.8K
Philadelphia wins8¢2100%+$5.4K
Will both teams score in the 1st Half?18¢1614%-$1.0K
Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner?31¢5100%+$1.3K
Brazil vs Morocco Winner?36¢30%-$1.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Dec 2025+$790.35
Jan 2026-$1.7K
Feb 2026-$202.39
Mar 2026-$1.6K
Apr 2026-$324.77
May 2026+$133.63
Jun 2026+$1.5K
Jul 2026-$1.4K
Aug 2026-$46.51
Sep 2026-$419.22
Oct 2026+$6.5K
Nov 2026-$954.56
Kalshi leaderboards
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