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Stats as of

paleface

-$332.87
Tracked Trades
130
First Seen
Oct 23, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In Tennis
32% won · 69 settled · +$527.91

paleface is a Kalshi trader with 130 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 31 wins and 59 losses on settled markets, -$332.87 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? on Oct 26.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$9.5K
Typical trade
$9.36
Avg entry
22¢
Kalshi rank
#5,506

Profit over time

+$0.00-$2.4K
Oct 23Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢637%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢2030%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢1350%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢1867%93%+26 pts
Over 80¢1687%80%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2339%-$6.86
$2 to $93329%-$114.52
$9 to $513233%-$173.73
$52 to $1.3K3254%-$37.76

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis7832%+$527.91
US elections290%-$1.0K
NBA1238%+$25.16
Bitcoin2100%+$112.31
Basketball367%+$3.24
NFL1100%+$21.78

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied paleface

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$558.85
Profit
on $1,100.00 staked
8-3
Record
73% win rate
+51%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time11 settled trades
+$558.85-$100.00
Oct 12Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 11 so far.

By category

sports10 settled+49%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $24.31

The markets paleface is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what paleface is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Oct 26
Sold Nosold 87¢$588.12Exited
Rigele TE wins
Oct 20
No57¢$1.3K+$943.19
Moyuka Uchijima wins
Oct 20, 19 fills
Yes57¢$887.57+$660.45
See every position across 53 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Rigele TE wins
    $1.3K on No at 57¢, Oct 20
    +$943.19
  2. 2
    Moyuka Uchijima wins
    $887.57 on Yes at 57¢, Oct 20
    +$660.45
  3. 3
    Jay Friend wins
    $184.23 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 20
    +$578.14
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Rigele TE wins57¢1100%+$943.19
Yulia Putintseva wins58¢20%-$509.25
Will Donald Trump or another Republican win the Presidency?42¢30%-$1.0K
Will Shunsuke Nakagawa win the Nakagawa vs Overbeck : Qualification Round 1 match?30¢1013%-$224.68
Moyuka Uchijima wins57¢5100%+$660.45

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Oct 2024-$1.0K
Feb 2025-$10.20
Feb 2026+$67.41
Mar 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$2.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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