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Stats as of

Kalshi

dt421984

-$655.88
Tracked Trades
925
First Seen
Jul 7, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Baseball
61% won · 18 settled · +$4.91

dt421984 is a Kalshi trader with 925 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 355 wins and 352 losses on settled markets, -$655.88 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? on Nov 1.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
-37%
Money traded
$3.5K
Typical trade
$0.78
Avg entry
40¢
Kalshi rank
#5,919

Profit over time

+$19.00-$656.00
Jul 7Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1813%8%-6 pts
20 to 40¢16232%27%-6 pts
40 to 60¢32049%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢31069%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢11587%72%-15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $023245%-$1.26
$0 to $123155%-$6.89
$1 to $223148%-$23.76
$2 to $1.2K23154%-$623.97

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections140%-$652.85
Tennis87151%-$11.18
Baseball2361%+$4.91
WNBA978%+$4.16
College football617%-$0.92
World politics2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied dt421984

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,956.67
Profit
on $17,900.00 staked
78-101
Record
44% win rate
-11%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time179 settled trades
+$444.44-$2.0K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
521% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.81×
Profit factor
$8.1K won vs $10.1K lost
-4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
168 trades

By category

sports177 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $1.90

The markets dt421984 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dt421984 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Nov 1
Sold Nosold 69¢$1.2KExited
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Oct 31, 9 fills
Yes29¢$652.38-$652.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 30
Sold Nosold 81¢$3.83Exited
See every position across 634 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Teah Chavez win the Lu vs Chavez: W35 Saskatoon Semifinal match?
    $26.65 on Yes at 33¢, Jul 25
    +$54.11
  2. 2
    Will Nikola Bartunkova win the Tauson vs Bartunkova: Round Of 64 match?
    $23.85 on Yes at 31¢, Aug 5
    +$53.09
  3. 3
    Andrea Lazaro Garcia wins
    $15.00 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 15
    +$23.46
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?29¢100%-$652.38
Will Benito Sanchez Martinez win the Moeller vs Sanchez Martinez: Round Of 32 match?1+$0.00
Will Marvin Moeller win the Moeller vs Sanchez Martinez: Round Of 32 match?74¢1100%+$14.49
Will Tatum Evans win the Evans vs Gowda: W50 Columbus OH Round of 16 match?71¢30%-$17.15
Will Sean Grosman win the Grosman vs Shoaib: M15 Rochester NY Round of 32 match?92¢10%-$34.80

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$11.22
Aug 2026-$20.94
Sep 2026+$2.36
Oct 2026-$626.08

Kalshi leaderboards

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